Buffalo State VS Ohio Preview
Buffalo State faces Ohio on November 28, 2025, at 12:00 PM EST at UB Stadium in Buffalo, New York. This NCAA matchup carries significance as both teams look to close out November with momentum, and the contrasting form lines set up a compelling tactical battle in cold, windy conditions that could favor the ground game.
Ohio enters with confidence, riding a dominant November stretch and superior rushing attack led by Sieh Bangura’s recent form. Buffalo, meanwhile, has struggled defensively, conceding 37 or more points in consecutive games and showing particular vulnerability in the fourth quarter. The home side’s recent record at UB Stadium offers little comfort for backers.
Expect Ohio to establish the run early, controlling tempo and exploiting Buffalo’s porous late-game defense. Weather around 35°F with 17 mph winds could suppress aerial attacks, tilting the contest toward physicality. The Buffalo State VS Ohio game preview and Buffalo State VS Ohio betting odds reflect that edge, with the Bobcats favored by a touchdown on the road.
Key Factors for Buffalo State VS Ohio
Ohio has won 11 straight November games as a favorite against non-AP-ranked opponents, a streak that underscores their situational dominance in late-season spots. Buffalo has lost four of its last five home games and failed to cover in eight of the last nine versus non-ranked teams, pointing to chronic underperformance at UB Stadium.
Sieh Bangura anchors Ohio’s ground attack, giving the Bobcats a reliable hammer in tough weather. Buffalo’s defense ranks poorly in fourth-quarter situations, allowing opponents to pull away late. Ohio has covered the spread in five of its last six meetings with Buffalo, establishing a clear head-to-head edge that bettors should note.
Cold temperatures and 17 mph winds favor run-heavy game plans, which plays directly into Ohio’s hands. The Buffalo State VS Ohio betting forecast and Buffalo State VS Ohio prediction hinge on whether the Bulls can finally stem the tide at home, but recent evidence suggests another Ohio cover is likely.
Recent Trends for Buffalo State VS Ohio
Ohio’s November dominance as a favorite is a trend too strong to ignore, with the Bobcats 11-0 in these situations against non-ranked foes. Buffalo’s home woes compound the issue, as the Bulls have dropped four of five at UB Stadium and routinely failed to meet spread expectations in similar matchups.
Momentum clearly favors the visitors, but Ohio’s 1-4 straight-up road record this season introduces a wrinkle. Still, five covers in the last six against Buffalo suggest the Bobcats know how to navigate this fixture. Recurring patterns point to Ohio imposing its will through superior rushing and defensive discipline.
These habits and stretches of form feed naturally into expectations for Thursday’s contest. The Buffalo State VS Ohio matchup trends and Buffalo State VS Ohio betting insights converge on Ohio’s ability to control the clock and capitalize on Buffalo’s fourth-quarter fragility, making the spread a logical target.
Our Prediction is Ohio Bobcats -7 spread
Ohio’s stronger rushing game and defense give them a decisive edge in conditions that will limit passing efficiency. Buffalo has allowed 37-plus points in back-to-back games, and their fourth-quarter defensive struggles leave them vulnerable to teams that can grind out late leads. Ohio’s 11-game November winning streak as a favorite reflects exactly this kind of situational mastery.
Sieh Bangura’s recent form provides the Bobcats with a reliable offensive weapon, while cold weather and 17 mph winds will push both teams toward run-first strategies. Buffalo’s 1-8 ATS record against non-ranked teams speaks to systemic issues covering spreads at home, and Ohio’s 5-1 spread mark in the last six head-to-head meetings reinforces their edge.
We believe the outcome of the match will be Ohio Bobcats -7 spread. The Bobcats’ tactical discipline, superior ground game, and proven ability to close out games should overcome Buffalo’s home-field advantage. Buffalo’s defensive lapses and chronic covering struggles make this line attractive, especially given Ohio’s late-season pedigree in these exact spots.
Ohio’s November track record as a favorite ties together form, situational trends, and matchup advantages. Weather conditions and Buffalo’s fourth-quarter breakdowns amplify the edge. This is the clearest angle available in this Buffalo State VS Ohio fixture, and the Buffalo State VS Ohio betting picks should lean confidently toward Ohio covering the seven-point spread.
