Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints Preview
The Miami Dolphins host the New Orleans Saints at Hard Rock Stadium on Sunday, November 30, 2025, at 1:00 PM ET. This fixture pits two struggling franchises against each other, with Miami sitting at 4-7 and New Orleans languishing at 2-9. While neither team is in playoff contention, the Dolphins will look to build on their recent momentum at home.
Miami enters this matchup fresh off a 16-13 overtime victory against the Washington Commanders, a win that could provide the spark needed to salvage what remains of their season. New Orleans, meanwhile, has been among the league’s most disappointing teams, dropping a 24-10 decision to the Atlanta Falcons last week and extending their recent misery.
The stage is set for a contest where Miami’s home-field advantage and superior offensive output should dictate proceedings. Expect the Dolphins to control tempo while the Saints struggle to generate any consistent rhythm. For those tracking Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints game preview and Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints betting odds, the market has clearly identified a mismatch.
Key Factors for Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints
The Dolphins have dominated November home games, winning their last 11 at Hard Rock Stadium during this month and covering the spread in 10 of those contests. Meanwhile, New Orleans has lost nine consecutive games against AFC opponents, a streak that underscores their struggles against conference opposition and suggests vulnerability in this cross-conference showdown.
Miami’s recent defensive improvement stands out, as they’ve allowed just 13.0 points per game over their last two outings. On the other side, the Saints rank 31st in scoring, averaging a paltry 15 points per game with the league’s second-worst offensive output. The statistical gulf between these two units is enormous and points toward a lopsided affair in Miami Gardens.
The Saints have seen their last seven games finish under the total, reflecting their offensive limitations. However, the Dolphins’ last seven games as favorites in Florida went over, creating an intriguing dynamic. For those following Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints betting forecast and Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints prediction, this clash of trends shapes the market positioning significantly.
Recent Trends for Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints
The series history favors Miami 7-6, with the most recent meeting resulting in a dominant 20-3 Dolphins victory in 2021. Both teams have struggled on the road, with Miami posting a 1-4 away record and New Orleans matching that mark. But the Dolphins are 3-3 at home, where their comfort level and historical November success create a tangible edge.
New Orleans ranks dead last in the NFL in average yards per punt at 43.9, a telling indicator of their inability to flip field position. Combined with averaging just 296.8 total yards per game and 205.3 passing yards, the Saints present minimal offensive threat. Miami’s defense, which has tightened considerably, should feast on this anemic attack.
The momentum factor cannot be ignored, as Miami rides the confidence of their overtime triumph while New Orleans stumbles through a nine-game losing streak against AFC foes. These stretches of form and situational patterns create clear expectations for handicappers. For Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints matchup trends and Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints betting insights, the path forward appears well-defined by recent performance.
Our Prediction is Miami Dolphins -5.5 spread; Over 41.5-42.5 total points
Miami’s historical dominance in November home games provides the foundation for backing the Dolphins to cover the 5.5-point spread. Their 10-of-11 spread coverage during this stretch demonstrates consistent superiority when playing at Hard Rock Stadium during this calendar window. Against a Saints team that has been completely overmatched against AFC competition, the Dolphins should win convincingly.
The total presents an interesting angle, as Miami’s offensive struggles averaging just 20.5 points per game clash with their trend of going over as home favorites. However, facing the 31st-ranked Saints offense could allow Miami to control possession and generate enough scoring opportunities to push this game into the mid-40s combined. The defensive improvement is real, but New Orleans is simply too limited.
We believe the outcome of the match will be Miami Dolphins -5.5 spread; Over 41.5-42.5 total points. The Dolphins should handle a Saints team devoid of offensive weapons and reeling from consistent failure against the AFC. Miami’s situational edge at home in November, combined with their recent defensive strides, creates a pathway to a comfortable home victory that covers the spread.
The over play hinges on Miami generating enough offense against a vulnerable Saints defense that has allowed opponents to exploit their lack of depth and quality. While New Orleans has trended under, their opponents have typically controlled games and coasted late. Miami Dolphins VS New Orleans Saints betting picks favor the home side decisively, with both the spread and total offering compelling value based on November trends and conference matchup history.
