HomeNCAA PicksAlabama VS Georgia Prediction: December 6, 2025

Alabama VS Georgia Prediction: December 6, 2025

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Alabama VS Georgia Preview

This Alabama VS Georgia rematch arrives December 6, 2025 at 4:00 PM ET inside Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, and it carries the weight of unfinished business. Georgia enters at 11-1, still stinging from that 24-21 loss in Athens during the regular season. Alabama sits at 10-2, knowing they’ve already cracked this code once.

The first meeting was tight, physical, and decided by situational execution in the final quarter. Expect similar intensity but with Georgia adjustments and a neutral site atmosphere that strips away some of Alabama’s earlier edge. Both programs arrive battle-tested, and the Alabama VS Georgia betting odds reflect just how razor-thin this rematch figures to be from the opening whistle.

Look for early defensive probing, each staff searching for what the other has changed since September. The Alabama VS Georgia game preview centers on Georgia’s hunger for revenge and Alabama’s confidence from already winning this year. This matchup typically opens cautiously before exploding in scoring bursts, and both teams understand the stakes perfectly.

Key Factors for Alabama VS Georgia

Georgia gets C. Bowens back fully dressed and fresh after sitting out the Georgia Tech game, a significant boost for their defensive scheme and depth rotation. Alabama managed to win the first meeting without facing Bowens, so his return changes some of the matchup math and gives Georgia more flexibility in coverage and blitz packages.

Neither defense generated consistent pass rush in recent head-to-head battles, and Georgia ranks 69th nationally in defensive pass rushing. That means quarterbacks will have time, and the game likely turns on execution in space rather than relentless pressure. Alabama’s offensive line handled this issue well in Athens, and Georgia’s adjustments will be critical.

The Alabama VS Georgia betting forecast hinges on Georgia’s elite rush defense, ranked 6th nationally at just 86.1 yards per game, squaring off against Alabama’s struggling ground game, ranked 104th at 126.2 yards per contest. If Georgia shuts down the run early, Alabama becomes one-dimensional, and the Alabama VS Georgia prediction shifts toward Georgia controlling tempo and possession.

Recent Trends for Alabama VS Georgia

Alabama arrives 4-1 in their last five games and 3-1 against the spread in that same stretch, showing they’ve been covering numbers and winning with consistency. But they’re just 1-2 ATS in road games, which matters even on a neutral field, as the lack of home crowd energy has historically made Alabama slightly more vulnerable.

In five of the last seven meetings between these programs, the first half alone saw at least 35 points. That’s a clear pattern: early offense, fast tempo, and both teams willing to trade scores before halftime adjustments take hold. The Over has hit in two of Alabama’s last five games, suggesting scoring variance depending on opponent and game script.

The Alabama VS Georgia matchup trends reveal a defensive mismatch on the ground: Georgia’s 6th-ranked rush defense against Alabama’s 104th-ranked rushing offense. This creates a clear strategic advantage for Georgia, and the Alabama VS Georgia betting insights lean heavily on Georgia’s ability to dictate pace and force Alabama into predictable passing situations.

Our Prediction is Georgia Bulldogs -2.5

Georgia’s dominant rush defense and the return of C. Bowens give them the structural edge they lacked in Athens. Alabama’s 104th-ranked rushing offense can’t establish the physical tempo needed to grind this game down, and Georgia’s offensive balance should exploit a defense that struggled to generate consistent pass rush in recent meetings.

The neutral site location removes Alabama’s crowd advantage, and Georgia’s motivation after the regular season loss provides an emotional undercurrent that often shows up in championship-level rematches. Alabama’s 1-2 ATS mark on the road suggests they struggle to cover away from Tuscaloosa, and this environment feels closer to a road game than home.

We believe the outcome of the match will be Georgia Bulldogs -2.5. Georgia’s defensive front should limit Alabama’s ability to sustain drives on the ground, forcing one-dimensional play-calling that tilts the time of possession battle. Expect Georgia to control the second half and win by a field goal or more.

This is where Georgia’s adjustments from the first meeting pay off. They’ve seen Alabama’s situational tendencies, they have Bowens back in the rotation, and they possess the superior rush defense to dictate game flow. The Alabama VS Georgia rematch should tilt toward the Bulldogs covering a short number, making this the clearest edge in the Alabama VS Georgia betting picks.

Mason Bennett
Mason Bennett
I’m the voice behind Pick 60 Sports, a long-running U.S. platform built on data-driven analysis and expert picks across the NFL, MLB, NHL, CFL, NBA, soccer, UFC, and tennis. My focus is turning stats into smart, actionable insights for sports fans who bet with strategy.
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