Week 8 CFL Picks: Edmonton at Toronto

The Toronto Argonauts play host to the Edmonton Eskimos Sunday in afternoon CFL action

 

After sailing to their third-straight win it appears the Toronto Argonauts have righted the ship and Sunday the Boatmen will try and extend their streak against an Eskimos squad that is sinking fast in the West.

 

WEEK 8 CFL – ESKIMOS AT ARGONAUTS (-8, O/U 51.5)

[dropcap2]E[/dropcap2]dmonton has shown some signs of life but they are 1-5 and fighting an uphill battle against the likes of Calgary, BC and Saskatchewan. Former Eskimo QB Ricky Ray will try for his first home win since Week 1 Sunday and Ray is coming off a three-touchdown game in Montreal where he was 15 for 18. Ray appears to be getting more comfortable all the time in an offensive scheme that highlights his strengths and his protection is stronger than ever.

 

[highlight class=”” bg_color=”#fcff00″ text_color=”#000000″]The Argos QB connected with six different receivers last week and seven in his previous home start against the tough Riders D[/highlight]. Ray’s ability to spread the balls will keep the Eskimo defenders guessing and that could mean trouble for a unit who have given up 30-plus points in three consecutive games. The Green and Gold also have the worst run defense in the league (144.8 RYPG allowed), which won’t help matters.

 

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Non-divisional faves of -6 points or more with a non-divisional foe on-deck have won 89-percent of their games straight-up since 2007

 

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While Eskimos first-year starting QB Mike Reilly has shown flashes, he has yet to put together a complete game and his inconsistency is reflected in Edmonton’s record. Reilly and his offense have shown they can put points on the board but they have come mostly against weaker defensive opponents. Edmonton’s ground game has also been hit or miss and unreliable for the most part which just increases the pressure on the rookie pivot. It might be too much to expect Reilly to carry a team on his back at this stage of his career and for the Eskimos to be competitive everyone else needs to start hauling their weight. The loss of JC Sherritt, their defensive heart and soul, who is out indefinitely with a thumb injury will test the Eskimos depth.

Pick: Take the Over

 

KEYS TO THE GAME – ESKIMOS

 

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Pressure Ricky Ray and keep the pocket moving

 

Establish a running game early

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KEYS TO THE GAME – ARGOS

 

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Spread the ball around, keeping all receivers involved

 

Make the Esks one dimensional by eliminating the run game

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Pick Sixty staff writer Greg Simes missed his best bet last week and his overall record fell to 3-4. Follow Greg on Twitter for more CFL betting information

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