Toronto successfully defended its title in the season opener against Hamilton
Certainly the popular perception among sports betting circles is that BC is an elite team and will bounce back from a desultory performance in Week 1. Perhaps. But what we see is a line that has crept from -3.5 to -5.5 and then -6 throughout the week. The common betting line on gameday is -7 with one online sportsbook (Bet 365) even testing the waters at Lions -7.5.
Recent play by either of these teams does not seem to be getting much consideration. Toronto is on a six-game win streak dating back to last year and BC is 1-3 SU/ATS in its past four, doing a lot of talk but showing little passion. This is a late bodyclock game for Toronto which is a bit bothersome but I’m generally more concerned with early hour shifts…when a west coast team travels east for a morning game.
BC is without their centre Angus Reid, the only other player to handle the ball on every snap, and is missing receivers who give confidence. Arland Bruce III and Geroy Simon are gone and that may prove beneficial in the long run but I see an initial gap in a go-to guy here. Especially Bruce.
A concern I have with the Argos is the injury to kicker Swayze Waters but I expect backup Noel Prefontaine, signed just before the regular season, will suffice. He’s recovered from off-season surgery and was added to the roster in what seemed like an odd move but after Waters injured his kicking leg during the opener, having an experienced kicker like Prefontaine has already paid off. I may still be holding my breath tonight but I suppose he’ll do.
From my viewpoint the value here is with the Argos and the points.
CFL Pick: Take Toronto with the points
Pat Archibald recently joined the PickSixtySports.com team and will be offering weekly musings and football picks throughout the CFL and NFL seasons. You can read Pat’s latest article, “Small Ball” here!
CFL Picks, last week: 1-0
Season record: 1-0
ATS: Against the Spread