We’ve hit three-straight winners in the Canadian league and this week, our CFL Best Bet looks at the Ti-Cats and Lions!
Ti-Cat QB Dane Evans has posted 4 TDs and 4 interceptions since taking over for Jeremiah Masoli
Week 11 CFL Best Bet: Hamilton at BC
Line: Tiger-Cats -3.5 and O/U 47.5
The Ti-Cats are 7-2 SU including a 3-1 SU record since QB Dane Evans took over for an injured Jeremiah Masoli. Against the Bombers, Riders, Lions and Redblacks, Hamilton is also 1-3 O/U their past four.
Hamilton ranks first overall in DPS for the season at +2.8 but they are -1.75 (7th) as a result of Evans starting the past three games.
SDQL Notebook: DPS stands for ‘Delta Points Scored.’ Essentially, it tells us how far above or below a team performed compared to their projected output. Learn more about SDQL trends here.
When considering Hamilton’s overall DPS, keep one thing in mind. Their DPS ranking was bloated up by a 64-14 win over the Argos in Week 2.
Ti-Cats’ scoring with Evans at the controls:
Wk 7 vs. WPG: 23 points due to a sloppy performance by the Bombers offense.
Wk 8 at SSK: 19 points in a non-divisional road game at a tough venue.
Wk 9 vs. BC: 35 points in a barnburner against a desperate Lions team; also non-divisional.
Wk 10 at OTT: 21 points vs. a Redblacks team that had beaten the Cats in 5-straight. As usual, it was more a case of the Ti-Cat D getting the job done here. Hamilton shutdown the Ottawa offense, holding Dominique Davis to 238 passing yards. It makes for a much easier day for any QB who’s trying to find a rhythm.
In a rush? Jump to the Week 11 CFL Best Bet here!
Setup: Week 11 CFL Best Bet
The Ti-Cats have a Week 12 rematch on-deck against a frustrated Argos (1-7 SU) squad currently in the midst of three-game, four-week homestand. Unlike their other Ontario rival, Hamilton has owned the Boatmen for the past several years. Hamilton’s current win streak vs. Toronto is four-straight and since 2013, the Cats are 15-6 and 17-4 ATS in that series.
While this game is a letdown spot for the Cats, their defense is only allowing 20 points average. They’ve held 4 of their past 5 opponents to 24 or less and were unhappy about the 34 that BC put up in Week 9. Hamilton knows how weak the Lions are on the O-Line and can smell blood. They will be pinning their ears back at the chance to add to Mike Reilly’s sack total.
BC has a bye week on-deck and a chance to lick their wounds. Above all, the goal for the offense will be to keep QB Reilly alive. The D, in contrast, are trying to avoid a repeat of what happened in Week 9. It won’t be easy.
In home games this season, BC has scored 23-6-18 points and the 23 was in Week 1.
To continue reading our Week 11 CFL Best Bet, click here…
In our ongoing efforts to continuously provide readers with winning selections, Pick Sixty is now posting exclusive content at Killer Cappers. Backed by strong SDQL data, read the rest of this article here and gain further insight toward our prediction, all while helping us keep the dream alive. It’s a win-win!
Note that this Week 11 CFL Best Bet is backed by our money back guarantee: Win or your web debit account at Killer Sports will not be charged.