Wednesday NHL Picks

Saturday’s hockey prediction from the Devils and Blue Jackets hit and tonight we serve up a play from Montreal at Buffalo along with some betting notes for the New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks

The Montreal Canadiens are in the midst of a tough stretch in their schedule and the competition only gets better from here but for teams in the Atlantic, there are always matchups against the Buffalo Sabres to look forward to like a beacon in the night. NHL odds for this game favor the Habs at two to one and that’s absurd for a team who has such a tough time lighting the lamp of late. But betting on the Sabres is normally reserved for extremists, or those who have been drinking whiskey. Buffalo has one home win this year in six tries so really you’ve got better odds betting on the Sabres to go to overtime (2 for 6, even money) than winning straight-up (1-4-1 and -2.6 units).

 

Buffalo actually holds an edge over Montreal in the SportsDatabase.com NHL history, with 26 wins in 49 games but the Habs took care of business last year, sweeping the season series (0-3-1 O/U). We’re not going to get in the way of that streak but we do like this game staying under. These teams are 16-28-5 O/U since 2007 and Montreal has only scored 2.5 GPG. The latest trend is 1-5-1 O/U and games in Buffalo are 4-10-2 O/U since the 2008 season. In the last four years, teams off a home loss that came into Buffalo are 4-1-1 SU and 0-4-2 O/U when the total is five. Road faves off a home loss and no rest are 2-4-2 O/U when the total is O/U 5 and they have another home game on-deck. The most recent over was in 2007 (0-3-2 O/U since then).

Pick: Take the Habs and Sabres UNDER 5 (-120)

ISLANDERS – DUCKS PREVIEW

In the early season, one of Pick Sixty’s NHL experts offered a look at the Metropolitan Division and here are some of those notes for the New York Islanders, who are +140 tonight in Anaheim. New York is 3-3 (+.65 units) as a dog so far this season and the past four-straight games have stayed under. Tonight’s total is 5.5 OV -115 and probable goaltenders are Jaroslav Halak and Frederik Anderson. Note that Ducks goalie John Gibson (groin) is going to be out of service until December so for now, it’s either Anderson or backup Jason LaBarbera.

 

John Tavares heads up a talented group of forwards in New York, joined in the offseason by former Leaf tandem Mikhail Grabovski (3G, 3A) and Nikolai Kulemin (1 G, 5 A). The Isles were having some early success with a healthy Tavares but they’ve given up a lot of goals this year and don’t look as if they’ve got the depth to stay competitive through a whole season.

 

The back end continues to be a work in progress featuring first round draft pick Griffin Reinhart. Reinhart was key in the Oil Kings winning the Memorial Cup last year and has the size to step into an NHL lineup but after limited ice time in three games, Reinhart was reassigned to AHL Bridgeport where he can log some minutes. Lubomir Visnovsky is the vet on the blue line and he’s averaging 21 minutes per game but health is a constant concern. Visnovsky hasn’t played a full season since 2010.

 

After a disappointing 2-4-1 week, Pick Sixty’s NHL record this season dropped to 13-14-1 overall but we’ll continue to iron out the wrinkles. Follow us on Twitter for NHL betting updates and predictions as they are posted and good luck with your picks tonight!

 

To read the rest of our NHL previews just click on the following links; each has an SDQL trend to track throughout the season:

2014 NHL Previews: New York Rangers

NHL Betting Preview: Philadelphia Flyers

NHL Eastern Previews: Blue Jackets

Washington Capitals NHL Preview

2014 NHL Previews: New Jersey Devils