Trends with Benefits: Week 7 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from two of Sunday’s late games between San Francisco and Tennessee and the Texans at Chiefs

 

The San Francisco 49ers were to focus of several criticisms this season after losses to Seattle and Indianapolis but since then the Niners have won three-straight games by double-digits and NFL odds list them as a small road favorite this afternoon in Tennessee. The Niners are 6-4-1 ATS as a road fave since 2011 including a current hot streak of 5-1 SU/ATS since Week 4, 2012. When laying points on the road against non-divisional opponents, HC Jim Harbaugh has a record of 4-1 SU/ATS and his team has outscored the opposing team by an average score of 25 to 16.

 

[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]The 49ers are 13-1 ATS since September 25, 2011 against non-divisional teams when San Fran also has a non-divisional opponent on-deck[/quote_text]

 

San Francisco will travel to London, England next week for a game against the lowly Jags and they will not be looking past this Titans team, especially with Jake Locker returning to action. Non-conference road faves off a divisional win are 91-50-6 ATS since 2003 and we are backing the Niners as a top play for Week 7. You can get them at the Greek with a line of -3 (-120).

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the 49ers

 

HOUSTON at KANSAS CITY

Line: Chiefs -7 and Over/Under 39.5

The Texans needed a change at quarterback and the injury to Matt Schaub facilitated the move. Case Keenum will have to try and keep pace with a Kansas City offense that rank ninth in scoring (25.3 PPG) and while it may be a tall order for Houston to win straight-up, the Chiefs are 0-7 ATS the last seven times as a home favorite following a home game. The last five games in that series also stayed under and Houston needs to lean hard on its D as they look to get this season back on track. The Texans are 3-15 O/U when facing teams who allow more than 4.5 rushing yards per carry (RYPC) and Kansas City ranks 30th in the league at 5.0 RYPC allowed. RBs Arian Foster and Ben Tate are both banged up but Foster rushed for 141 yards last week and they’ll need another strong effort from him this week. Look for this game to stay under the number and be sure to shop for an O/U 40 (Bodog) or if necessary, buy the hook.

 

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