Trends with Benefits: Week 6 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games around the league including the Seattle Seahawks homecoming vs. the Tennessee Titans

 

Vince Young is in the twit-o-sphere headlines Sunday for suggesting he could help the Houston Texans beleaguered QB position. Lions WR Joseph Fauria is also crashing down on the Fantasy Football waiver wire shores with his two touchdowns in Cleveland. It’s another perfect storm for NFL betting and this day is just getting started!

 

Here are some key numbers for the late games starting with the Tennessee Titans at Seattle Seahawks (-11, O/U 42).

 

First of all, this game opened with a line of Hawks -13.5 and O/U 41 so you know where the public sports betting trends are headed. The Seahawks started 4-0 and then lost in Week 5 against a solid Indianapolis Colts team who we’ll all watch “live” in Week 6 Monday Night Football.

 

[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]NFL teams playing in Week 6 or Week 7 who are coming off their first straight-up loss of the season have a record of 20-36-3 ATS since 1989 (28-31 SU)[/quote_text]

 

Last week was the second of back-to-back roadies for Seattle and they were coming off a hard fought overtime win against the formerly tough Texans team the week before. Road teams off the Texans are 11-20 straight-up since 2009; just don’t tell the Rams that! Now Seattle is back home and I guess this could be a letdown spot for some teams but not Seattle. Not at home with HC Pete Carroll marching up and down the sidelines. Since Carroll took over the Hawks are 13-9 SU off a loss including a 4-1 record last year. In the two home wins they scored 27 and 30 points. At home off a loss Seattle is 6-1 SU/ATS the last seven times and I don’t see why they would let up against the Titans.

 

We suggested a play on the “Over” when this was available at 40.5 and still liked it at 41 but betting it “Over” at 42 feels like a bad number. Watch this one for live betting opportunities and half-time wagering.

 

Jacksonville at Denver (-26.5, O/U 54) is setting new record highs and there is a great thread charting huge pointspreads posted at the EveryEdge sportsbetting forum. Home faves of more than -14 points are 26-1 SU and 10-17 ATS since November 25, 2011 and the Jags look like the play here but it’s the Jags. Proceed with caution.

 

New Orleans at New England (-1, O/U 50.5) is an interesting game and the Saints have played eight-straight road overs (on turf) against non-divisional opponents. This is their second-straight roadie but the Pats are off a loss so you know Sean Payton and Drew Brees packed all their ammo. Look for a shootout in this one as Brady unleashes his fury both on the field and the sidelines.

 

For the Cards at Niners (-10, O/U 40.5) it’s hard not to like the dog and the Cards have won eight-straight games when getting this kind of lumber if their opponent has won at least two-straight games by a double-digit margin.

 

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