Trends with Benefits: Week 5 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games around the league

It’s always interesting trying to write a sports betting column while watching the early action unfold. NFL Red zone is whirl wind of scoring highlights and then when you throw in the turnovers and overload of penalties, well there is never a dull moment.

Here are two of the totals I’ve booked for this afternoon along with SDQL codes linking out to SportsDatabase.com. Take a second to check out the charts; they are a wealth of information.

CARDINALS at LIONS

Line: Arizona -3 and O/U 45

The Cardinals are the fourth team this season laying road points off a home loss and the first three are 3-0 SU but only 1-1-1 ATS. This is a small line and since 1996, chalk teams in this range are 11-5-2 ATS but the totals are 12-5-1 O/U (71-percent) and the over is one my top picks today. Carson Palmer has won seven-straight road games ATS and although Detroit’s D has been shoring things up, this is a stiffer challenge that the Seahawks offense to date. The Cards have played over four-straight times to start the season and when teams in this spot are favored on the road, they are a 61-percent bet to go over. Since 2004, road faves of -4 or less with a total between 40 and 48 have played 13 overs, 2 unders and a push. To get this system, just click SDQL text: week > 4 and ou streak >= 4 and AF and 40 <= total < 48 and line >= -4 and season >= 2004

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the OVER

BRONCOS at RAIDERS

Line: Denver -4.5 and O/U 43.5

Divisional home dogs off a non-conference road loss are only 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS the past five years when seeking revenge, but the ‘payback’ Oakland owes Denver for the past seven-straight SU/ATS losses isn’t something you can sum up with trends alone. The Raiders have watched Peyton Manning shred them for 36 points per game since 2010 (26 minimum) in two different uniforms and finally, they have the kind of offense that might just be able to keep pace. You can get SDQL Player Stats free at SportsDatabase.com: Peyton Manning:PY > 5 and o:team = Raiders and season>=2010 — Recent divisional revenge games such as this are on an 18-8 O/U run (69-percent) and I booked this total “Over” 43 as my first play of the week.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the OVER

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