Trends with Benefits: Week 4 NFL Betting Tips

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games around the league

Congratulations if you had Julio Jones on your fantasy football roster today. He’s single handedly shredding the Panthers secondary as we speak and it looks like the New England Patriots may actually lose a game without Tom Brady. It’s a great day of action for NFL bettors and if anyone is having a last look at the late card, here are some trends to consider.

DENVER AT TAMPA BAY

Line: Broncos -3.5 and O/U 43

We booked this game “Over” 42.5 points in our Pick Sixty Sports Play of the Week at EveryEdge. The Broncos are “live” in a defensive profile that’s produced 18 overs and 8 unders since 2008. We’re looking for a D that’s allowed fewer than 200 in three consecutive games. As long as the total is greater than 40 points, the over is 69% effective. Here is the code for that system with a link to best free Sports Database on the net:

SDQL: A and p:A and po:PY < 200 and ppo:PY < 200 and pppo:PY < 200 and total > 40 and season > 2007

DALLAS AT SAN FRANCISCO

Line: Cowboys -1.5 and O/U 45

The last 31 times a conference home dog allowed more than 35 points in back-to-back games, they were 8-23 SU, 12-18-1 ATS and 8-21-2 O/U. The current streak is 8-straight unders and after allowing 46 to Carolina and 37 to Seattle, San Francisco is “live” in this betting profile.

Dallas is second in the NFL with 33.7 rush attempts per game and that has spelled trouble for this Niner group (0-6 ATS) and the Cowboys had also played five-straight road unders before that Week 2 over at Washington. Overall, Dallas is 2-8 O/U in their past 10 road games and the Niners are 1-8 O/U their past nine games as a home dog.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the Boys & 49ers UNDER

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