Trends with Benefits: Week 3 – Broncos at Seahawks

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s Super Bowl rematch between the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks

Denver and Seattle hookup today for the first time since a lopsided Seahawks blowout in Super Bowl 48. Today’s TWB notes look at the latest Over/Under odds from online sportsbooks and suggest a play on the total.

BRONCOS at SEAHAWKS

Line: Seattle -4 and O/U 48

The Broncos held off the Chiefs last week while Seattle was getting a shake-up call in San Diego. Denver’s time of possession was only 23:46 against the Chiefs and that could leave their defense susceptible to a Seahawks offense that’s averaged 27 points per home game since the start of the 2011 season.

 

– Russell Wilson is 18-1 SU and 14-5 ATS in his last 19 home starts, outscoring opponents 29.4 to 13.3. Click this SDQL link for a complete analysis at sportsdatabase.com

 

This game qualifies for a combination of unique football betting systems that have only produced seven plays in database history. First we are looking for a playoff rematch. Second, we need a road team (Broncos) immediately off a home win (no bye in-between) where they possessed the ball for fewer than 29 minutes. The record for the road team in this spot is 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS with six of seven games going over the total. Home teams have a 33.6 to 22 point scoring advantage.

 

Denver’s potent offense is sure to put up more points than the miserable ‘8’ they scored at MetLife Stadium in February. Likewise, Seattle should be able to lean a lot harder on a fresh RB Marshawn Lynch this week after he was limited to six carries in San Diego. Our situation is backed by a 68-percent Over/Under profile that has produced 32 winners the last 47 plays when the total is greater than 42 points.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the OVER 48

 

Don’t miss a single play from the NFL, NHL or basketball – Follow Pick Sixty on Twitter and ‘Like’ us on Facebook!