In today’s trend tips, Mark Sanchez returns to his old park and Tom Coughlin looks to finish strong. We break down the Eagles at Giants matchup with an ATS prediction along with notes from the NFC North showdown between the Lions and Packers!
The Philadelphia Eagles are turning into one of the most overrated teams of 2014 and although some will point the blame at Mark Sanchez, the Eagles also had season-long issues with an offensive line that were one of the top units in 2013. Football Outsiders ranks the Eagles at 30th in run blocking and ninth in pass protection. They’ve given up 21 sacks since the game against Houston when Nick Foles was injured and it didn’t take long for defensive co-ordinators to dust off their game film of Sanchez with the Jets, make comparisons to the Eagles offensive scheme from the past two seasons and figure out how to get pressure.
Philly was also third in turnover margin last season and they are 26th this year. That kind of fall-off rarely leads to success and this week, the Eagles are slumping into New York to take on a Giants team who have found big success on the pass rush (17 sacks) and turnover department (+5) during this three-game win streak.
EAGLES at GIANTS
This line opened at NY -3 and on Saturday it was bet down to -2.5 with a total of 52.5. Home teams are 36-17-1 ATS in tight lined games with high totals and from Week 15 out, that record improves to 10-4 ATS (71-percent). Access that pointspread betting trend with SDQL from SportsDatabase.com!
The G-Men stepped up last week in St. Louis, passing for 386 yards and rushing for 128 more in a 37-27 win over the supposedly stout Rams. It was NY’s third-straight win and HC Tom Coughlin is apparently teaching these guys what it means to finish strong after a third-straight lackluster season. New York exceeded its season average for total yards by a little more than 150 and when home off a game like that the Giants have covered four in row since 2002 if the line was within three points of ‘Pick em’. The most recent was earlier this year in Week 3 when they beat the Texans 30-17.
In Week 17, tight lined teams in this spot realized they can’t stop now if they are hosting a strong opponent and when our visitor’s win percentage is 60-percent or greater, the home side has cashed seven of eight tickets. Regardless of when the game takes place, home teams on a three-game win streak in this spot have performed well, winning straight-up and outscoring their opponent’s 23-12 on average. Our top side play today is on the Giants to cover.
Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the New York Giants
Pick Sixty Sports is proud to offer the KillerSports.com NFL Report each week featuring free picks, unique trends from every NFL matchup along with a couple of top teaser plays backed by powerful database records. One of the best parts about this sports betting newspaper is the transparency. For example, did you know that the Green Bay Packers are 22-1 in a 6-point teaser when favored by -14 points or less at home following back-to-back road games? You do now, and if you wanted to have a closer look at the play, simply click the SDQL text: team = Packers and HF and line >= -14 and p:A and pp:A and REG and season >= 2000
Teaser trends, spotlight systems, college football bowl predictions and instructions on how to utilize the free sports database to research your own betting angles. It’s a tool that any handicapper needs to add to their collection if you are interested in getting more serious about making money. You can download the Week 17 NFL Newsletter on the right side of this page or at the Pick Sixty Sports home page.
Good luck this weekend and be sure to check back with us throughout the week for early NFL playoff picks and analysis. The twitter handle is @PickSixtySports and most plays are posted there as soon as they are booked.