Trends with Benefits: Week 13 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games including the Denver Broncos at Kansas City Chiefs


The Denver Broncos are back on the road after that second-half breakdown vs. New England and today they’ll face a Kansas City Chiefs team who have lost two-straight after a 9-0 start.


Sportsbook Odds: Broncos -5.5 and O/U 48.5
KC’s defense took a hit last week when Justin Houston (elbow) and Tamba Hali (ankle) were injured in the loss to San Diego. Hali is questionable today but this D was exposed for 27 points in Denver and Peyton Manning has a 10-1 record vs. the Chiefs all-time. Denver has five-straight games SU/ATS when playing back-to-back on the road and the past two seasons they are 9-4 SU/ATS when laying between -3 and -10 points.


[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]NFL teams are 368-275-15 ATS (58-percent) when playing the second of back-to-back road games before Week 17 since 2003[/quote_text]


Road teams off an upset road loss are 19-9 straight-up and 20-8 ATS the last 10 years when the total is between 41 and 51 points. The Chiefs have proven in the past they can defend pass-heavy offensive attacks but playing without a full deck, even the home field advantage of Arrowhead Stadium will not be enough to slowdown Manning.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the Broncos


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Best NFL Odds: 49ers -7.5 and O/U 40.5
Sticking with divisional NFL betting trend, the St. Louis Rams are on west coast this afternoon for the second meeting of the season with the Niners. San Fran showed little mercy on the Rams in Week 4 and that 35-11 thumping kick-started a five game SU/ATS win streak for the defending NFC champs. Following their bye week the Niners were stumped by Carolina and then after a controversial loss in New Orleans the Niners made no mistake in Washington, crushing the Redskins 27-6.


The Rams have played 9 overs and 2 unders this year with 38 and 42 points scored the past two weeks and since the final week of the 2011 season, St. Louis is 10-1 ATS getting points against any team with more wins on the season. That list of games includes the 24-24 tie in San Fran last season (Week 10) and a 31-17 win in Arizona two weeks later. Other noteworthy games include the 20-13 loss in Seattle to close the 2012 season and the Week 8 Monday nighter against the Hawks this year. You’ll recall that St. Louis lost the game straight-up but covered the spread, giving them an 8-game ATS underdog win streak vs. divisional opponents who had more wins (3-5 O/U).

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the Rams


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