Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games including Carolina at San Francisco and Denver at San Diego
Carolina is being touted as one of the biggest sleeper picks to make the playoffs this season but one of the consensus critiques about Ron Rivera and the Panthers is that their wins have come against weak competition. It’s true, the Panthers’ past four wins did come against opponents whose combined straight-up record is 7-27 SU but one could argue that you can only play the teams in front of you. The fact is that Carolina has scored 30-plus in four-straight games and five of their past six. San Fran only gives up 18.1 points per game (PPG), however, so perhaps this week we’ll see just how real these Panthers are.
CAROLINA at SAN FRANCISCO
Odds: Niners -5.5 and O/U 43
Money is coming in on the dog and the over and when coming off a bye the Niners have a 15-1-1 O/U record their past 17 games, playoffs included. The Niners lead the league in rushing at 153 yards per game and when playing at home in this particular spot they’ve dominated their opponents 12-straight games by a scoring average of 31.2 to 13.6.
The Niners are 4-1 O/U when hosting a non-divisional team with a road game on-deck (10-2-1 ATS last 13) and the league-wide trend for this profile is on a 26-9-3 O/U run. When playing against a team who runs the ball on more than 55-percent of its plays the league-wide trend since December, 2009 is 55 overs, 26 unders and a push including Carolina’s “Over” in Week 2 against the Buffalo Bills.
Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the OVER
DENVER at SAN DIEGO
Odds: Broncos -7 and O/U 58
The Broncos defense ranks 16th in the Football Outsiders Defensive Efficiency Ratings but that has not stopped bettors from boosting the chalk and the total for this contest throughout the week. For what it’s worth, San Diego ranks 32nd on the same scale and head coach or not, Peyton Manning can move the football against anyone. Chargers HC McCoy will have to bring out his big guns if he hopes to exact some revenge against his former team but divisional road faves of -6 or more are 4-2 ATS this year and scoring 30-plus points per game and we have the Broncos scoring at least 30 points in this one.
Denver has won these games by an average margin of 16 PPG and covered the spread by more than 9 PPG. It’s a popular pick but we have the Broncos winning this game by double-digits.
Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the Broncos