Trends with Benefits: Week 10 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games around the league – Broncos, Raiders, Giants and Seahawks games featured!

Sunday upsets are looming in the early games with the New York Jets matching and then breaking their season total for forced turnovers in less than three quarters today against the Pittsburgh Steelers. Too much home cooking must have gotten to the Pitt-boys in their big homestand; always tough for those teams going on the road, especially after winning all three games. Be on the lookout for New England in that spot for Week 11.

DENVER at OAKLAND

Line: Broncos -11 and O/U 50.5

The big fave and the over have been action in this game as the Broncos look to bounce back from last week’s disappointing loss in New England. We booked a play on Denver at -10 (-120) several days ago and are looking for them to put up a big number this week in Oakland. When the total is in this range, hot November road teams are 31-18 ATS and 31-15-3 to the over since 1997. Winless teams this late in the season are 10-1-1 ATS getting this many points against the division but Oakland is one of the worst teams in football trying to follow up a gritty effort. The Raiders fought hard against the Seahawks last week and covered, but their last 13 times in this spot the Raiders are a cool 0-13 ATS.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the Broncos

NEW YORK at SEATTLE

Line: Seahawks -9.5 and O/U 44.5

The Hawks have been getting each team’s best effort all season and through all the injuries and disruptions, they are doing alright (5-3 SU). Seattle was a terrible bet in the second of back-to-back home games, going 3-10 ATS from 2000-2004. Since then, Seattle is on a 17-4 ATS run and three of the losses were divisional.

 

NY’s general trends on the west coast are dead even: 9-9 SU/ATS and 9-9 O/U with PF/PA avg’s around 45 and it looks like the oddsmaker’s line has been a good indicator of what we can expect. The four times NY was favored they are 4-0 SU/ATS and the other 14 games they are 2-12 SU and just 5-9 ATS. Check numbers with this SDQL code: team=Giants and A and NB and o:time zone=P and (F,1 or line>=0,1). Two of the road dog covers were in the playoffs and another was when they were getting +15.5 points. Six of the past 11 games above were against San Fran but if you cross them out and reduce the time range, we can see NY getting outscored 38-22 in four trips out west (regular season).

 

Against mobile quarterbacks the Giants have stayed under the total by almost 10 PPG the past few years and first quarter scores are all really low. It looks like Tom Coughlin’s gameplan is to try and set a slow pace early but at this point, I just don’t know if they’ve got the size on the O-line and D-line to control anything. Big dogs off a post-bye loss at home are a .500 play ATS but the over has been ever stronger.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the OVER

 

Our Sunday Night Football play is on the Bears and Packers “Under” 53.5. Don’t miss a single play from the NFL – Follow Pick Sixty on Twitter and ‘Like’ us on Facebook!