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Posted on September 7, 2014 by Jarvis Simes

Trends with Benefits: Week 1 NFL Betting

Top trends and sports betting tips from Sunday’s late games including the San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys

The starter’s gun has been fired and the first big round of NFL action is off and running. We would like to wish everyone the best of luck in the next five months cashing more tickets than you tear up and hopefully, we can help you with a few solid weekly winners to set the pace. Along with NFL Best Bets and the Totally Covered Over/Under report, Pick Sixty publishes strong weekly trends and systems powered by the SDQL Sports Database and KillerSports.com. Our ‘Trend Tips’ have an all-time hit rate of 55-percent and every game features at least one profile with a link to the game chart. In Week 1, we’ve set our sights on the NFC. Enjoy!

SAN FRAN at DALLAS

Line: Niners -3.5 and O/U 50

Hilton SuperContest Picks: 49ers (162) and Cowboys (247)

The Niners won six-straight games at the end of the regular season, walked into Lambeau and beat the Packers and then rolled over Carolina in the divisional round. Were it not for the powerhouse Seahawks, perhaps the Niners could’ve finally completed the puzzle they’ve been working on since Steve Young left town! San Fran is a solid 14-3 SU and 11-4-2 ATS laying road points under Jim Harbaugh and that includes a run of 6-0-1 ATS in 2013 where they averaged just under 31 points per game! See for yourself with this simple SDQL code: team = Fortyniners and AF and season >= 2013

 

Dallas gave up 395 yards per game at home last year and the only two teams who failed to reach at least 23 points were the Redskins and the Rams. The other six averaged 31.7 points per game and it doesn’t look to us like the defense has gotten much better.

Pick Sixty Trend Tips: Take the 49ers Team Total OVER 27

CAROLINA at TAMPA BAY

Line: Bucs -3 and O/U 37.5

Hilton SuperContest Picks: Panthers (94) and Bucs (518)

The big question on everyone’s mind this morning was “Is Cam gonna’ start?” and so far, this line has moved five points towards the home side. Tampa is also the top pick among football handicapping super weights at the Hilton Super Contest while the Cats are the lowest. We’ll all know the final answer soon enough but in the meantime, if you drafted Newton on your fantasy football roster let’s hope you have a backup.

 

This game was covered in our Pick Sixty Sports Tip of the Week at the KillerSports.com Tipsheet (free every week) and although the line value is lost, we thought we’d share a solid Week 1 system that’s 91-percent in the past 10 seasons. The play is AGAINST Week 1 NFL teams who finished the previous season with a winning record who open as a dog of +2 points or more against a foe that came out of the campaign with a losing mark last year. The “better” team from last year has only won one of 12 games in this situation since 2003. The odds set the table for this game and the books know than any of us about what’s going on behind the scenes. We’re in on Tampa -2 but now that the lines moved, perhaps a teaser – Bucs to the Broncos is in order? We’ll let you decide. Our official play is on the Bucs to cover and if you want to receive the free Killer Sports Newsletter weekly, just click the link and sign up on the home page. It’s free and no obligations or pushy sales pitches; just solid `capping.

 

Don’t miss a single play from the NFL, NHL or college football – Follow Pick Sixty on Twitter and ‘Like’ us on Facebook!

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