Skip to content
Pick Sixty Sports
Pick Sixty Sports

Pick Sixty Sports

Sports Betting News You Can Use!

  • Home Page
    • The Story So Far
    • Contact
    • Facebook
    • Twitter
  • NFL
    • NFL Odds
    • Matchups
    • NFL Forum
  • SDQL Report
  • MLB
    • Baseball Odds
  • NHL
    • NHL Odds
    • Starting Goalies 1
    • Starting Goalies 2
    • Officials
    • NHL Forum
  • CFL
    • CFL Odds
    • Team Statistics
  • SDQL
    • Sports Database
    • Killer Sports
    • Trend Mart
    • Killer Cappers
    • Google Group
    • Learn SDQL
  • Handicapping Tips
    • Free Picks
Posted on January 11, 2014 by Jarvis Simes

Trends with Benefits: Colts, Patriots Betting Tips

Pick Sixty’s NFL betting feature has been providing winning systems and picks all season long and today we feature the AFC showdown between the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots

New England’s offense can’t hope to put up the same kind of numbers they used to. No Gronk, no Hernandez and very little playoff experience for the wideouts. The run game’s latest boost came through LeGarrette Blount but the Colts will see him coming a mile away. Bill Belichick may look to mount some sustained drives and control the clock but Indy’s D will be tough and if they can make a few stops, Andrew Luck and the Colts can play the same game.

 

This line has looked too high all week long and we lean towards the Colts covering but rather than fade the great Tom Brady at home, our stats uncovered another play that we feel gives us a better chance of collecting the cash: Take the Colts Team Total OVER 20.5 (-130) at Pinnacle Sports

 

New England is rested but their defensive ranking has slipped this season from 15th to 24th. Each of these teams ranks worse against the rush than the pass and with foul weather expected, this game sets up like a potential “Under” play but with a total of 48 or more, conference home faves of -7 or more are 11-5 O/U in the playoffs. ATS line aside, when the road team comes in on a streak of three-straight wins (or more), the past eight games in SportsDatabase.com history show a record of 7 overs and 1 under.

 

We note that six of those seven overs were played indoors but Indy’s run game, Luck included, could generate some nice drives for a Colts team whose gameplan had to consist of scoring plenty of points vs. this caliber of competition. Since 2010, this round had produced 11 overs and 1 under (Saints-Seahawks game pending).

 

In the Pats’ last seven games they were 5-2 O/U but New England only scored 7.6 first-half PPG (and 22 PPG in the second-half). Their big breakout game was against the Ravens but turnovers aided that one and Indy was +9 in turnovers the five games before KC (-3). New England only gave up 9.6 first-half PPG and not one of those seven games went to the break with more than 24 total points scored (the first-half total is 26.5) so we backed off the first-half wagering lines.

LIVE SDQL BETTING SYSTEM: OVER

NFL teams have played 30 overs, 8 unders and 2 unders the past eight seasons as road dogs of more than TD immediately following a game where they achieved three times as many passing yards as rushing yards. Trailing by double-digits at half-time last week vs. Kansas City, Indy’s passing game opened up and they finished with 436 passing yards to 100 yards on the ground.

NFL TREND TIPS

The Pats have not fared well vs. mobile QBs the past couple years (1-3 SU/ATS) and all four opponents scored at least 24 points. New England has a terrible ATS record in the playoffs starting with their last meeting against the Colts in 2007 (2-9 ATS). The Pats were perfect at home during the regular season but playoff teams in that role have not performed well over the years, going 9-18 ATS (2-9 ATS last 11). Pick Sixty’s Trend Tips predicted a side and total for last week’s San Francisco at Green Bay playoff game and this week we will ride with the Colts’ Team Total OVER. Good luck and enjoy the game!

 

Did you know we are 8-1 this week with free picks? Don’t miss a single play from the NFL, NHL or basketball – Follow Pick Sixty on Twitter and ‘Like’ us on Facebook!

Related

CategoriesSDQL Tagsevery edge forum, facebook football, facebook nfl picks, football betting, football futures, football handicapping, football news, football odds, football picks, football predictions, football preview, football wagering, handicapping nfl, interconference stats, nfl best bets, nfl betting, nfl betting trends, nfl database, nfl handicapping, nfl newsletter, nfl picks, nfl playoff betting, online football betting, playoff football picks, sdql betting seminar, sdql systems, sports betting forum, sports handicapping info, sunday football picks, wagering info

Post navigation

Previous PostPrevious Chirper’s Corner: Blackhawks at Canadiens
Next PostNext Consider This – Niners at Panthers, Division Finals

Search recent articles for More SDQL Trends and Systems!

  • 2020 NFL Schedule, Online Betting Trends
  • Sports Tickets Worth a Thousand Words
  • Gronk joins Tom Brady, Bucs, in Tampa

The Beat

Pick Sixty Archives

Visit our Facebook Page for more Sports Betting News you can use!

Visit our Facebook Page for more Sports Betting News you can use!

Follow @PickSixtySports on Twitter!

My Tweets
Proudly powered by WordPress