Over/Under feature with best bets from the Lions, Bears, Vikings, Dolphins, Giants and Rams!
When Chicago pulled into the Motor City for a Week 13 matchup with the Detroit Lions there was a sense of optimism growing within the locker room. Chicago had managed a pair of home wins following the disastrous 55-14 loss in Green Bay including a divisional game (Vikings) and one over their long-time, former coach Lovie Smith (Bucs). It was more like damage control, really. Had the Bears fallout continued for another week past Lambeau there is a good chance Marc Trestman wouldn’t have even made the trip to Detroit. Halas Hall was in an uproar.
Good times continued for roughly 12 minutes at Ford Field and then the Lions made adjustments. Detroit took over the ball game and hasn’t lost since. The Bears haven’t even led a game since Detroit went ahead in the second quarter that Thanksgiving afternoon and they’ve given up 30 points or more in three consecutive losses.
Jimmy Clausen gets the call today in his first start since 2010. The team sounds optimistic again, saying they expect good things from their backup QB. Clausen has potential but when he gets pressured he makes mistakes and this Lions defense knows a thing or two about pressure. Detroit’s defense is first in points allowed (17.0), second in yards allowed (300.3) and they have the third best stop rate on third down (65-percent).
The Lions (39) are sixth in QB sacks and Chicago’s O-line gave up seven last week to a New Orleans Saints team who only had 24 before they met Chicago. And although Detroit has clinched its first trip to the postseason since 2011, they are still motivated by a chance to host a game or perhaps even take a week off during the Wild Card Round and rest. That’s big incentive for the league’s No. 1 defense and their head coach, Jim Caldwell, who has plenty experience in the NFL playoffs with the Indianapolis Colts (2002-11) and Baltimore Ravens, where Caldwell won his second Super Bowl as the team’s offensive co-ordinator (2012-13).
Dogs who have given up 30 points in three consecutive games while suffering a negative turnover margin are 3-19 straight-up, averaging 13 points per game. Access the chart for that profile with the following SDQL Text: po:points>30 and ppo:points>30 and pppo:points>30 and p:TOM>0 and pp:TOM>0 and ppp:TOM>0 and D
The overall record is 8 overs and 14 unders and games that took place from Week 12 or later are 2-6 O/U and not one has finished with more than 44 total points scored.
Chicago is 4-10 SU/ATS the past two seasons against teams with a winning record and although they’ve scored well in these games at home, this defense is the toughest one they’ll face yet. We thought about playing the Bears’ team total under 18 points but decided to go with a full game total after breaking down the matchups. Shop for the best line – we booked this Sunday morning at the Greek online sportsbook.
TC Pick of the Week: Lions-Bears UNDER 44.5 points
Our other totals for this week are on the Vikings-Dolphins UNDER 43 and Giants-Rams UNDER 44. Each of these plays was booked and posted on Dec. 16 at the Pick Sixty Sports facebook page. Click the link, “Like” the page and get on board with the best early odds and free picks on the net. We cap our games, book the bets ourselves and the post the information – it’s that simple.