Coming off an overtime win against San Diego it appears the Washington Redskins are ready to make a push towards the division lead in the NFC East. Tonight’s game against Minnesota could be the perfect springboard but defense has been an issue and Adrian Peterson is ready to romp and stomp!
The current NFL odds for this game favor the Skins -1 (-108) at one sportsbook but we are also seeing them as high as -3 at Bodog with totals around 48.5/49.
WEEK 9 TNF: WASHINGTON at MINNESOTA
Best Odds: Skins -1 (-108) and O/U 48.5 (Pinnacle)
One sports betting site reports nearly 80-percent action on the road favorite but our play for tonight is on the first-half total. Washington racked up 500 total yards of offense last week which is almost 100 yards more than their season average. They have a chance to gain some momentum here against a team who can’t stop anyone. After this game the Skins will have a few extra days to prep for a divisional game at Philly followed by the Niners, Giants and Chiefs.
The Redskins have the worst special teams in the NFL (Minny ranks 9th) and Washington defense allows the 30th most yards in the league so if the Vikes are going to move the ball against anyone, Washington is a good candidate.
[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]Minnesota’s defense ranks dead last in yards per game allowed at home (413.3). That’s 50 yards worse per game than the Vikings allowed in 2012[/quote_text]
The home side has lost four in a row and so far this season when any home team is on a losing streak of two or more the games the “Over” has cashed 19 of 29 times. The short week could have an impact on both sides of the football and when Thursday road teams are favored with a total of 41 points or more the record is 16 overs and 6 unders.
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Thursday home teams against an opponent who is coming off an OT game are averaging 25 points per game (PPG) since 1989 and one thing we noticed about the Vikes is that they are scoring 13.6 PPG in the first-half this year vs. just 9.6 in the second-half. Both of these teams rank in the top 5 for most points allowed this season in the first-half and road faves off an overtime game vs. a team who is mired in a losing streak are 15-5 O/U this year with both teams in this angle scoring more points in the first-half than the second.
Take the Redskins and Vikings OVER 24 points in the first-half