Thursday Getaway Games: Pirates at Phillies

Pittsburgh looks for its third straight win over the Phillies in one of three afternoon games in Major League Baseball.


The Pirates (8-4) are off to a surprisingly strong start this year helped partially by a pair of back-to-back wins the last two days over Cole Hamels and Roy Halladay. Today Philly sends left-hander Cliff Lee (2-1, 2.83) to the hill and that’s forced a moneyline price of -178 on the home side with a total of 7 Over (-110).



Pittsburgh came back from a 3-1 deficit with runs in the seventh, eighth and ninth innings yesterday and the daily newsletter notes that when playing on the road, the Pirates have played “Over” 10-straight times since September, 2008 when wrapping up a series immediately following a comeback win where they allowed eight-plus hits.


The SDQL code for this Pittsburgh betting trend can be accessed with the following code:


team=Pirates and A and po:BL>0 and p:W and SG=SGS and date>=20080904 and po:hits>=8


Wind doesn’t look to be a factor in today’s contest and while Pittsburgh starter James McDonald (2-2, 4.12 ERA) is a subpar performer we should point out that when the total is 7 or less, the Pirates have played just 1 over to 7 unders in 2013.


Throughout the 2012 season Pittsburgh was 11-19 in these low total games with 10 overs, 17 unders and 3 pushes and their record on the road was just 4-11 (SDQL: team=Pirates and 7>=total and season=2012 and A).


As the Phils look to pull even in this series and head off for their five-game road trip on a high note, our suggested play for this contest is to lay a run on the Phillies (-124) using adjusted run lines.

Pick: Take the Phils -1 run (-124)


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