NBA Playoff Picks: Pacers at Heat

The Eastern Conference Final features an Indiana Pacers team looking for playoff revenge against the Miami Heat

 

Oddsmakers opened the Heat as a 8.5-point favorite for game 1 of this series Wednesday and sportsbooks across the board dropped the line to -8 despite online betting sites reporting more than 70-percent action to the fan favored Heat side.

 

The popular debate between bettors tonight is whether or Indiana can take advantage of Miami’s rust from six days of rest the way Chicago did in Round 2.

 

Miami was only 1-3 ATS this season when playing with a longer than usual break between games and the team gave up almost 6 points per game (PPG) more than their season average of 94 PPG. When the Pacers took on an opponent who was forced to shake off some rust, Indiana was 3-0 SU/ATS and they scored 104.7 PPG which was more than 10 PPG higher than the team’s season scoring avg.

 

With an 8-point spread we side with tonight’s underdog making a game of it and staying close. Indiana has proven they can push the pace against rested foes and given the fact this is a playoff revenge spot, the Pacers have all the incentive in the world.

Pick: Take the Pacers

 

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Miami faces New York Knicks with short bench

The basketball odds in Vegas took a major correction Tuesday when it was confirmed that LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Mario Chalmers would be ruled out for Tuesday’s contest between the Miami Heat and New York Knicks.

 

It’s the second straight game Miami (58-19) will be without three of its key components but the injuries did not stop them from 88-86 road win against West-leading San Antonio (55-19) on Sunday.

 

Miami HC Erik Spoelstra is expected to roll with the same lineup he used against the Spurs but the news forced sportsbooks to drop the line from Heat -8 down to -2.5 or even -2 at some outlets. The total is down from 196.5 to 193.5 and it could go even further as the Heat check if for this lone home date. Just three of the past 10 games between the Knicks and Heat have played over the number and Miami has stayed under the total nine-straight times following a game where they relied so heavily on the long ball.

 

Mike Miller was four of six from beyond the arc in the Heat’s latest victory and will likely start tonight in place of Wade. Rashard Lewis is in for LeBron with Norris Cole suiting up for Chalmers. The Heat drained 12 of 28 attempts (42.9-percent) in the two point win and that’s a great deal higher than their season averages of 8.4 three’s on 21.3 attempts (39.4-percent).

 

Discuss this game with other members at the EveryEdge sports betting forum and check the latest NBA odds at Pinnacle Sports.

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