NBA Finals – Heat vs. Spurs

The third game of a playoff series has produced a 60-percent Over/Under angle that coincides with another NBA system hitting 68-percent


With the series knotted at one game apiece the common online betting consensus is that San Antonio needs to take at least two of the next three games on home court to have any chance for a series upset. The Spurs are 13-3 SU and 10-5-1 the last 16 times hosting the Heat but as the saying goes, “These are not your granddaddy’s Miami Heat!”


Action on the side and total is split through two furious days of buildup towards this game and some sports betting outlets have moved back to 188 for a full-game total while others hold steady at 187.5. San Antonio is a small home favorite thanks in part to their 41-7 home record since the season began and although we have a slight lean to the home side, our play for tonight is on the first-half total.



San Antonio trailed by three points at the half in game 1 of this series and the two teams combined for 101 points. In game 2, the first-half total combined points were 95 and at home the Spurs outscored opponents 51.4 to 98.7 this season. The NBA odds for tonight’s game in the first-half show a total of 93.5 and we have two systems “live” courtesy of Greg Dempson Sports.


Teams who win 75-percent or more of their games straight-up that are coming off a home win (Heat) have produced a record of 10 overs and 22 unders in the past three seasons when the total is listed between 90.5 and 95.5 points. In the past 15 years the record goes to 37-73 O/U (66-percent).


In the third game of a playoff series the Over/Under record in the first-half since 1996 is 99 overs and 150 unders (60-percent) and the average total was 95 vs. and average combined score of 93.4.


For tonight’s contest our money is on the Heat and Spurs to stay “Under” 93.5 points in the first-half.


Good luck!


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