The excitement of March Madness is infectious, even for the most casual basketball bettor. It starts with a bracket, maybe two, and then once you cash a couple tickets from the early rounds, it’s game on!
Today marks the start of the Sweet 16 with four killer matchups on the board. Purdue (15) and Kansas (3) are at the top of the rotation, tipping off at 9:40 pm ET, and the Jayhawks (30-4 SU, 13-19 ATS) have been bought from a 4-point opener to a current 5-point chalk line.
Betting against the public has produced a 61-percent ATS record thus far in March Madness (30-19), but in this case I’m believing the hype. Look for a strong “home court” effort from the Hawks as they cover the number.
Sweet 16 Pick: Take the Jayhawks
Michigan (23) and Oregon (9) is the tightest line on the board Thursday. The Wolverines are current 1-point faves and the total is 147. The Wolverines were paying 80 to 1 when March Madness Tournament betting began. After beating Oklahoma State and Louisville, however, odds are down to 18/1. Futures value is lost but bank on Michigan to keep its streak alive. In what should be a close game, I’m paying an extra 10 cents on the moneyline.
Pick: Take the Wolverines to win straight-up ***BEST BET***
The total for West Virginia (13) and Gonzaga (2) has moved from 146.5 to 149.5, making it the most significant jump in today’s Sweet 16 Over/Under odds. All four totals are up, signaling heavy public action, but once again I’m backing the chalk.
Gonzaga Bulldogs are my pick to win it all in the EveryEdge Madness 2017 Tournament Bracket and they’ve got a huge advantage here in the shooting department. The Zags are 34-1 SU and 22-9-1 ATS on the year, outscoring opponents 83.9 to 61.1. They’ve dominated the Mountaineers in recent play (3-0 SU/ATS), and margins were 4, 34 and 23 points. Try and shop for a -3 as Gonzaga takes their next step towards a championship.
Pick: Take the Bulldogs