The Colorado Avalanche and Minnesota Wild meet Sunday and we have a plus-money prediction
Minnesota is 7-1 at home since the All-Star break and today they host an Avalanche team who they have won five-straight home games against since last year’s playoffs. Colorado is coming off a 4-0 shutout win at Columbus Saturday and will turn to Semyon Varlamov as they try and snap out of the slump vs. their Central division rival but as a team, the Avs are just 2-13 playing on the road without rest since February, 2013 (SDQL Text: team = Avalanche and A and p:A and rest = 0 and date >= 20130224).
The Wild have built themselves into a playoff contender, taking over the top Wild Card spot in the West with the league’s best record since the break (16-3). It’s the third-straight season Minny has cranked it up in February-March and their overall record in these two critical months since 2013 sits at 41-23 (.641). At home, that record improves to 20-9 on an average line of -144 but the bookmakers have caught on, posting the Wild as a -210 moneyline favorite.
Big home faves late in the season show a 42-12 record the past four years against teams with no rest and the record so far in 2015 is 12-3 (80-percent). You can get a look at those 15 games with this SDQL link to SportsDatabase.com. Eight of the 12 winners were by two or more goals and today we’re banking that Minnesota can put the Avs away by at least at pair.
Pick: Take the Wild -1.5 (+135)