Sunday Night Football Picks, Week 1

The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys kick-off Sunday Night Football for 2013

 

The New York Giants and Dallas Cowboys are the fifth divisional game of Week 1 and the live gameday odds favor the Cowboys by -3.5 but that nice looking hook is costing dog bettors between -110 and -120 from book makers. The total as of Sunday afternoon has edged off the 50 back to 49.5 with a few shops even showing a 50.

 

It could be a lack of scoring from the early games causing bettors to rethink their approach. Only one of 10 games from the 1 pm ET group broke 30 points by half-time and only two registered more than 25 combined points.

 

Team totals are Giants Under 23.5 (-125) and Cowboys Under 27.5 (-131). Six of New York’s last eight trips to Dallas sailed over the total and in those eight games the G-Men topped 24 points six times. Dallas has scored 24-plus points four-straight times but they’ve managed to lose all four straight-up and against the spread. The Cowboys are 21-12 O/U all-time at their current stadium but they have cashed only one ticket for bettors in the last 11 tries. Check that chart at SportsDatabase.com:

 

team = Cowboys and H and (season , week) >= (2011 , 12)

 

Divisional favorites of -6.5 points or less with totals in this range have generally been a good “Under” play the past six seasons and before today’s games the count was at 4-12 O/U. You will want to check results from Minnesota at Detroit and Atlanta at New Orleans for an updated tally.

 

Dallas has a non-conference road game at Kansas City on-deck but regardless of what Andy Reid’s new team does to Kansas City, the Cowboys are not looking past a division rival who has caused them so much grief the past few years. Monte Kiffin is back in the league and he brings a 4-3 Tampa-2 scheme to the Cowboys D but he’ll start without DE Anthony Spencer, who is nursing a bad left knee. Nose tackle Jay Ratliff is also starting the season on the PUP list stemming from a leg injury he sustained against Cleveland last season.

 

The Giants come in with a huge chip on their shoulder from missing the playoffs last season and their defense also has a host of new faces but their coaching staff in intact. Eli Manning’s top target against the Cowboys last season, Hakeem Nicks (8 receptions for 84 yards) will get a lot of looks and WR Victor Cruz (heel) has been given the green light. The loss of Andre Brown hurts HC Coughlin’s 1-2 punch in the ground game but David Wilson had an explosive preseason.

 

New York is 8-1 ATS their last nine games as a road dog and when facing a division foe in this spot they are 12-3 ATS since 2006, winning 10 of those games straight-up.

 

team = Giants and AD and DIV and season >= 2006

 

Take the points with New York and for the best price, check out Sports Interaction. The current price is New York +3.5 (-110).

 

While recapping your Week 1 NFL betting action, take a few minutes to read our NFL Handicapping Annual preview. Whether you won or lost money this week you will likely find something valuable for tackling your Week 2 picks