Online wagering tips, odds, picks and trends from around the league looks at Week 2 NFL matchups and teams who know how to keep a good thing going
16 NFL teams won last week and so far at least one of them (Pittsburgh) has fallen back to .500. Since 2008, the best football teams off a win in Week 1 are the Denver Broncos (3-1 ATS), Arizona Cardinals (3-1 ATS), New York Jets (3-2 ATS) and Miami Dolphins (2-0 ATS). NFL odds makers have positioned Denver as a 13-point favorite and although they should win straight-up, the Broncos have failed to cover nine-straight times when facing a winless team (other than Week 1) and laying more than a touchdown. If this line moves to -14, consider Kansas City +20 in a 6-point in a teaser.
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The best NFL teams in Week’s 2-3, regardless of what happened in Week 1 are the Baltimore Ravens (now 9-3 SU and 8-4 ATS), and Cinci, Buffalo, Denver, Dallas, Atlanta and the New York Giants. Since 2008, all six of those teams have an 8-4 SU record in this spot. The best cover teams from that group are the Bengals (9-2-1 ATS) and Falcons (8-4 ATS) and one of them will take over the top spot after this weekend’s clash. Road dogs between in this range off an overtime win are 19-4-3 ATS in the first-half of the season and we were leaning towards Atlanta plus the points but are leery of the fact the Falcons are in a divisional sandwich (Bucs on-deck). Including last week’s thriller against the Saints, the Falcons have won 6-straight games ATS as a dog but under HC Mike Smith, they are 14-15 ATS overall getting points. Cincinnati, meanwhile, went 6-0 SU/ATS last season at home off a road game and they outscored opponents 34.5-14.5. Check Sports Database for the SDQL chart. They have the Titans on-deck followed by a rest week so there is no reason for Marv Lewis to go easy against a non-Conference foe.