Betting tips and trends to help handicap Super Bowl XLIX between the New England Patriots and Seattle Seahawks
The Conference Finals went according to plan for Pick Sixty’s ATS predictions and the two wins brought our all-time NFL playoff record to 17-7 (71-percent) since launching the site. Super Bowl odds are currently posted at New England -1 with a total of 48 and while we all wait for this ridiculous Deflate-gate story to subside, there are some quality sports betting trends and systems to uncover relating to what promises to be a great matchup.
We’ll be posting a few of our Super Bowl wagering angles throughout the next week along with SDQL codes that let you chart the profile with one simple click. If there is anything you would like us to research, just drop us a line @PickSixtySports or stop by the Facebook page and say hello. If the information is available in the free sports database at KillerSports.com, we’ll dig up the numbers and provide the stats along with the SDQL code so you can handicap it yourself.
PATRIOTS: AWAY OFF A HOME GAME
The Pats have been a solid non-divisional road team off a home game the past five years, outscoring opponents by a touchdown on average (30-23) and cashing “Over” tickets at a rate of 71-percent (12-5 O/U). But all of these stats are based on a normal work week, six days of rest or less in a couple cases (Thursday games). When the gap between Patriot games gets longer, their record has tanked (1-5 SU/ATS) and the scoring averages take a seesaw motion with New England being outpaced by a score of 29-21. Check the SportsDatabase.com chart with SDQL Text: team = Patriots and A and p:H and NDIV and season >= 2009 and rest > 6
The only win of that six-game sample, and one of the overs, was Week 11, 2014 at Indianapolis when New England (+3) punished the home side 42-20 on 244 rushing yards and 501 total yards. Last week at Foxboro produced a similar result, the Pats winning 45-7 against a Colts defense that on the season, allowed an average of 23 PPG (18th overall). Seattle’s D is first in the NFL with just 16.3 points allowed per game this year and in this six-game sample, four of New England’s five losses were against teams with strong defenses who allowed fewer than 22 points per game.
One thing to note is that all five Patriots SU/ATS losses and four of five unders were played outdoors. The big win at Indy was indoors as is this season’s Super Bowl at Arizona.