Since last season the Winnipeg Jets have played six-straight overs on home ice and they’ll face a tough challenge tonight when the Anaheim Ducks flock in from Minnesota
The Anaheim Ducks are in Winnipeg tonight as part of scaled down Sunday hockey betting card and the odds for the home town Jets have taken a steady one-way ride throughout the day from -125 as high as -160 at one online sportsbook (Sports Interaction).
Winnipeg looks like they may have found some winning combinations for the second and third lines which were off to a sluggish start in 2012 and the building will be rocking tonight as former Jet Teemu Selanne makes a rare appearance but we have a contrarian view on how things might play out.
The Ducks were one of the best teams in the league last year on no rest (7-3) and today they are coming off a 4-3 overtime win at Minnesota. That record includes a 4-0 mark in the first month of the season where the Ducks outscored opponents 19-13. In four road game back to backs with no rest the Ducks went 4-0 throughout the season, outscoring opponents by an average of 4.0 to 1.8.
The Jets are 10-4 all-time at home when riding a two-plus game win streak and let’s give them credit for rallying back at Rexall Place the other night but that was Devin Dubnyk and the Oilers. Anyone who watched Vancouver’s win against Edmonton last night saw how vulnerable the young Oilers team is to any sort of offensive pressure.
Winnipeg’s 5-3 win over Los Angeles in their home opener is certainly commendable and it’s probably the leading force behind this ever-inflating line. Viktor Fasth is likely to start and last season in his rookie campaign Fasth was 7-2-1 on the road with a 2.01 GAA. Ondrej Pavelec will likely start for the Jets and first line defender Tobias Enstrom is going to play.
Our first prediction for this game is a value play on the Ducks at +135 on the moneyline. We are also going to suggest backing the “Over” 5.5 goals at -103 from Pinnacle Sports. If Winnipeg does find a way to solve Fasth this game could easily turn into a last-goal-wins kind of shootout.