NHL Playoff Betting: Totals

The first round of this year’s Stanley Cup Playoffs provided a road map to Over/Under betting in Round 2 and we update the stats with an early play for the Minnesota Wild and Chicago Blackhawks

The first game in each Round 2 series is complete and the four games produced 2 overs and 2 pushes with a 6.0 GPG avg. Through two rounds, the “Game 1” totals of each series have averaged 6.42 goals per game resulting in 8 overs, 1 under and 3 pushes. In Round 1, the second game in each series dropped slightly from 6-1-1 O/U (6.63 GPG) to 5-1-2 O/U (6.25 GPG) but the “Over” was still solid. In Round 2, books posted a 5 OV (-120) on Game 2 between Montreal and Boston (OVER) and the overnight lines for both Minnesota vs. Chicago and New York vs. Pittsburgh closed at 5 OV (-125).

 

The updated record after Saturday’s games (1 over, 1 push) for all NHL playoff totals this year is 32-11-10 (74%) to the OVER. It’s hard to say when this madness could end but with juice of just -125 on a total of O/U 5, it’s getting really tough to justify a play on the under. That brings us to today’s top play on the Wild at Blackhawks.

MINNESOTA, CHICAGO – GAME 2

The Wild have played 4-straight overs and they are 6-2 O/U in the playoffs. Minny also finished the season with 3-straight overs and although all three were at home, they were against some pretty tough, defensive minded teams (Bruins, Blues, Preds). There wasn’t much on the line for any of those teams but still, Minny was a huge “Under” team from October through February. Since then, the Wild are 16-7-6 O/U (5.6 GPG) including a mark of 9-2-3 O/U on the road when the posted total is O/U 5 (6.0 avg GPG). Click the link from Sports Database for more!

 

SDQL Code: team = Wild and season = 2013 and 3 <= month <= 5 and total = 5 and site = away

OU:        9-2-3 (1.07, 81.8%)             avg total: 5.0  

 

Chicago has scored three or more goals in six of seven playoff games this year and they’ve won five-straight games. The offense is hitting on all cylinders right now but Andrew Shaw (20 G, 19 A on 15-plus mins TOI) could be out. He’s been a solid playoff contributor for the Hawks the past two runs (13 points in 30 PO games) but his absence is not going to send Chicago’s high octane offense off the tracks.

Pick: Take the OVER

 

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