The Week 12 primetime sports betting ticket features a New York Giants team still desperately clinging to a playoff spot against a Washington Redskins team reduced to the role of spoiler after a disappointing season
New York had won four-straight before losing a close one to Dallas last week. The Giants are only 1-3 SU/ATS against the division this year with their lone win coming on the road against Philly in Week 8, 15-7. In Tom Coughlin’s first seven years with New York his club went 11-3 SU against the Redskins (9-5 ATS) but since then Washington holds a 3-1 advantage, covering all four games against the spread.
Current online betting odds have flipped to Washington -1 with a total of 45.5. We posted our play for this game on Wednesday (see EARLY NFL PICKS, WEEK 13: NY GIANTS at WASHINGTON) but in case you missed it, here is how the game sets up.
WEEK 13 PICKS – SUNDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL
Offensively the Giants numbers rank amongst the bottom of league this year and their NFL-leading 2.7 turnovers per game is a major culprit. Last year the Giants turned the ball over 1.3 times per game (T-9th) and it led to a 26.8 point per game average (PPG), more a touchdown higher than this year’s 19.4 PPG.
During its recent turnaround the Giants won the turnover battle (plus-5), registered four-plus sacks three times and rushed the ball 31 times per game compared to 18.8 carries in their first six games. New York has only allowed 14.2 PPG in its past five and in games with tight lines (within +/-3 points of Pick `em), the Giants have allowed just 17.8 PPG since 2004 after registering four-plus sacks.
[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]The Giants are 32-6 ATS (7.09 ppg) on the road since Nov. 21, 1994 following a game in which they rushed for 150-plus yards[/quote_text]
Washington’s 25th ranked defense has been vulnerable against the pass but we expect HC Coughlin to focus his efforts on the ground game to try and wear this group down and keep RG3 off the field. The Skins have the Chiefs on-deck and there is there is nothing left to look forward to this season other than their three remaining divisional games. Since 2007, games in this exact scenario have produced a total of 40.0 PPG (42-69-1 O/U) and with the Giants coming off a three-game homestand this game also qualifies for one system that has gone over the total just once in the past 23 years (1-15 O/U).
Pick: Take the Giants and Redskins UNDER