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Posted on August 6, 2014 by Jarvis Simes

NFL Futures: Predict Final Division Standings

Picking divisional winners before the NFL regular season usually means paying a high price for the fave or throwing darts at your favorite darkhorse for plus money but this new offer from one book gives bettors a chance to focus on any team or division with plenty of plus-money paybacks

Today while I was checking out the offers at a couple online books I noticed a unique style of NFL futures bet that allows players to predict where a team will finish in the standings through Week 17. It’s obviously just another way for the man to try and lasso some of our money and increase his handle for four-plus months and really, predicting the 2nd-3rd-4th place teams may actually be more difficult than picking the winner but it’s still interesting. Flat bets aside, I think this would make for one helluva’ season-long contest or pool!

 

Here are the first two strategies that came to mind as I read through the numbers:

CELLAR DWELLERS

1. Circle all eight division dogs – the teams projected to finish fourth this season – and then pick a few of them at plus money to come in third.

 

AFC: Buffalo +190, Cleveland +300, Jacksonville +275 and Oakland +300

NFC: Dallas +220, Minny +350, Tampa Bay +225 and St. Louis +200

 

Six of those eight teams (exclude Dallas and Jacksonville) were 4th or at least tied for fourth last season. In a league where parity rules, the annual shakeup all but guarantees we won’t see the same group at the bottom again.

DIVIDE AND CONQUER

2. Focus on one division, the one you follow the closest, and make one, two (or even three) bets on how this division will play out

Running through the full schedule on all 32 teams is for retired folks but everyone has a team or a division that hits closer to home. Do some homework, check strength of schedule (home and away), compare the latest ‘Season Win Totals’ at your favorite book and crunch the numbers. When you spit the final standings, check the odds and see which teams offer the best value at plus-money, according to your calculations. It will certainly add some extra spice to the divisional meetings throughout the season and it may even setup a nice hedge opportunity when Week 17 rolls around!

THE 2014 NFL DIVISION ODDS

Here are the numbers from Sportsbetting.ag for all 32 NFL teams. Note that all bets must be placed before kickoff of the Green Bay Packers and Seattle Seahawks game in Week 1:

 

Arizona Divisional Finishing Position

1              1st          +700     

2              2nd        +500     

3              3rd         +160     

4              4th         +130     

Atlanta Divisional Finishing Position

5              1st          +300     

6              2nd        +200     

7              3rd         +275     

8              4th         +275     

Baltimore Divisional Finishing Position

9              1st          +250     

10           2nd        +240     

11           3rd         +200     

12           4th         +350     

Buffalo Divisional Finishing Position

13           1st          +1100   

14           2nd        +325     

15           3rd         +190     

16           4th         +115     

Carolina Divisional Finishing Position

17           1st          +325     

18           2nd        +275     

19           3rd         +225     

20           4th         +250     

Chicago Divisional Finishing Position

21           1st          +300     

22           2nd        +175     

23           3rd         +180     

24           4th         +550     

Cincinnati Divisional Finishing Position

25           1st          +180     

26           2nd        +225     

27           3rd         +250     

28           4th         +450     

Cleveland Divisional Finishing Position

29           1st          +650     

30           2nd        +350     

31           3rd         +300     

32           4th         -110      

Dallas Divisional Finishing Position

33           1st          +400     

34           2nd        +275     

35           3rd         +220     

36           4th         +180     

Denver Divisional Finishing Position

37           1st          -360      

38           2nd        +325     

39           3rd         +1100   

40           4th         +4000   

Detroit Divisional Finishing Position

41           1st          +350     

42           2nd        +200     

43           3rd         +150     

44           4th         +500     

Green Bay Divisional Finishing Position

45           1st          -150      

46           2nd        +200     

47           3rd         +600     

48           4th         +1600   

Houston Divisional Finishing Position

49           1st          +275     

50           2nd        +175     

51           3rd         +220     

52           4th         +450     

Indianapolis Divisional Finishing Position

53           1st          -170      

54           2nd        +220     

55           3rd         +600     

56           4th         +1600   

Jacksonville Divisional Finishing Position

57           1st          +1800   

58           2nd        +600     

59           3rd         +275     

60           4th         -200      

Kansas City Divisional Finishing Position

61           1st          +600     

62           2nd        +175     

63           3rd         +150     

64           4th         +350     

Miami Divisional Finishing Position

65           1st          +600     

66           2nd        +175     

67           3rd         +200     

68           4th         +275     

Minnesota Divisional Finishing Position

69           1st          +2000   

70           2nd        +800     

71           3rd         +350     

72           4th         -300      

New England Divisional Finishing Position

73           1st          -340      

74           2nd        +350     

75           3rd         +1000   

76           4th         +2000   

New Orleans Divisional Finishing Position

77           1st          +110     

78           2nd        +220     

79           3rd         +300     

80           4th         +900     

NY Giants Divisional Finishing Position

81           1st          +300     

82           2nd        +240     

83           3rd         +250     

84           4th         +250     

NY Jets Divisional Finishing Position

85           1st          +700     

86           2nd        +225     

87           3rd         +180     

88           4th         +200     

Oakland Divisional Finishing Position

89           1st          +3000   

90           2nd        +800     

91           3rd         +300     

92           4th         -275      

Philadelphia Divisional Finishing Position

93           1st          +130     

94           2nd        +225     

95           3rd         +350     

96           4th         +500     

Pittsburgh Divisional Finishing Position

07:30 PM             97           1st          +200     

98           2nd        +220     

99           3rd         +260     

100         4th         +400     

San Diego Divisional Finishing Position

101         1st          +550     

102         2nd        +140     

103         3rd         +160     

104         4th         +450     

San Francisco Divisional Finishing Position

105         1st          +140     

106         2nd        +150     

107         3rd         +350     

108         4th         +900     

Seattle Divisional Finishing Position

07:30 PM             109         1st          +110     

110         2nd        +160     

111         3rd         +450     

112         4th         +1100   

St. Louis Divisional Finishing Position

113         1st          +1100   

114         2nd        +450     

115         3rd         +200     

116         4th         -110      

Tampa Bay Divisional Finishing Position

121         1st          +600     

122         2nd        +350     

123         3rd         +225     

124         4th         +120     

Tennessee Divisional Finishing Position

117         1st          +450     

118         2nd        +200     

119         3rd         +150     

120         4th         +350     

Washington Divisional Finishing Position

125         1st          +350     

126         2nd        +250     

127         3rd         +220     

128         4th         +225

 

Check the PickSixtySports.com Facebook page for preseason betting tips and picks through August!

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