MLB Trends, Systems: D-Backs and Phillies

Roy Halladay makes his return to the mound Sunday as Philadelphia hosts Arizona

 

The biggest day of NFL preseason betting diverted a good share of attention away from baseball betting according to one sportsbook manager but as we hit the scaled back Sunday card, here are a few key MLB stats worth considering.

 

We’ll start in Philadelphia where Roy Halladay (2-4, 8.65 ERA) is toeing the rubber for the first time since May 5. Halladay was shelled badly in his last two Major League starts before it was determined he needed shoulder surgery and his rehab has been accelerated thanks to Saturday’s seven-hour marathon game. Tyler Cloyd, originally slated to start today was instead used for five innings of relief but Arizona still went onto win 12-5.

 

Patrick Corbin (13-3, 2.45 ERA) are favored by -140 in today’s contest which is the tenth straight roadie for the Diamondbacks. When Patrick Corbin starts the Diamondbacks are 24-5 since Sept. 16, 2012 for a net profit of $1806 but the average moneyline was just -128. Seven of the wins this season were by one run, too, steering us away from the run line.

 

Arizona has played under the total at a rate of 61-percent in the series finale the past couple seasons including a 15-25-1 O/U record in 2013.

 

t:team = Diamondbacks and SG = SGS and season = 2013

 

On the road that record is 7 overs and 15 unders (68-percent) for a profit of +7.35 units and to avoid any risk of what Halladay might bring, this could be a good spot to play the Phillies team total “Under” 3.5 runs.

 

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