MLB Picks: Tigers at Athletics

The Detroit Tigers completed a successful 4-2 homestand earlier this week and now head west for a series vs. the surging Oakland Athletics.

 

Detroit was 6-13 on the road vs. teams from the American League West in 2012 but that stat is a bit deceptive. After starting 4-4, the Tigers went 2-9 in the back-half vs. the Texas Rangers, Los Angeles Angels and a desperate A’s squad chasing down a playoff berth in October.

 

When today’s starter, Max Scherzer, was on the hill the Tigers were 2-0 in their first two AL West road games with 16 runs scored. His next two outings didn’t go nearly as well as the Tigers produced just five total runs in a pair of losses.

 

One of Scherzer’s early starts was against Bartolo Colon, who toes the rubber for the A’s in tonight’s series opener. The Tigers won that game 10-6 and in his career Colon is just 8-10 vs. the Tigers with a 5.60 earned run average.

 

Weather wise, the Tigers would seem happy to get out of Detroit for a trip to California but against the Yankees and Blue Jays, Detroit’s lineup was hitting everything in sight. The Tigers’ 6.67 runs per game (RPG) at home leads the majors and in three road games at Minnesota, Detroit is 1-2 with 2.67 RPG.

 

Oakland leads the majors with a 6.60 RPG average thanks to a six-game sweep the past week in Houston and Anaheim. They are 1-2 against Scherzer and all three games have gone over the total. In fact when Scherzer is favored against any opponent his last five games have all played over the number.

 

Sportsbooks offer this game with a line of Detroit -114 and 7.5 Over -120. We like how it sets up for the Tigers but it’s not often wise to step in front of moving freight train like the one Oakland is driving.

Pick: Take the Tigers-A’s Over 7.5 runs

 

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