MLB Picks: San Francisco Giants at L. A. Dodgers

San Fran saves its best for a Dodgers team who have struggled all season vs. divisional opponents

 

The San Francisco Giants sleepwalked their way through a weekend set vs. the Miami Marlins but it’s time for a reality check Monday as the Giants begin a three-game series vs. the Los Angeles Dodgers.

 

Baseball odds favor the home side at LA (-113) and a low total of 6.5 with left-hander Hyun-Jin Ryu (6-3, 2.96 ERA) on the hill for his third career start vs. San Francisco. Ryu is 4-1 at home with a 1.88 ERA but he’s 0-2 vs. this NL West rival and winless in his last three turns overall.

 

San Fran counters with Madison Bumgarner (7-4, 3.25 ERA) who is looking for his fourth consecutive win and ranks top 10 among qualified National League starters in both K per nine innings (9.00) and WHIP (1.01).

 

PICKY, PICKY

San Francisco rolled into its series vs. the Marlins off back-to-back wins vs. San Diego which made it three-straight divisional series wins at home for the G-Men since May 3. The problem is that San Fran appears to be “saving up” its best performances for divisional games and divisional games only. Here are some links provided by our friends at SportsDatabase.com which break down the Giants season. Click on the corresponding link for detailed analysis.

 

22-12 vs. the NL West and scoring 4.6 RPG

team = Giants and season >= 2013 and C and o:division = ‘NL West’

 

14-19 vs. non-divisional NL teams (4.1 RPG) and that includes a 4-10 record their last 14

team = Giants and season >= 2013 and C and o:division != ‘NL West’

 

2-6 vs. Interleague opponents and scoring 3.2 PPG

team = Giants and season >= 2013 and not C

 

On average they are favorites in every spot but a guy has made a small fortune this year fading San Fran when they play anyone from outside their division (+11.8 units).

 

The value of SDQL is that you can gain access to the same sports betting information on the Los Angeles Dodgers by simply changing the ‘team’ input. For example, the Dodgers record in 2013 vs. NL West opponents is 11-23, seen here:

 

team = Dodgers and season >= 2013 and C and o:division = ‘NL West’

 

SAN FRANCISCO TREATS

The Giants are tied for second in the majors hitting against lefties (.284) and the average 4.9 runs per game when the opposing starter hurls from the first base side. San Francisco has won five-straight against the Dodgers and it’s entirely possible the MLB odds maker and betting public are hinging too much weight on the past four days of action without factoring enough variables. We’ll take our chances with the quality road team who seems to “gets up” for divisional games.

Pick: Take the Giants +104

 

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