MLB Picks: Giants at Cardinals

San Francisco is 11-0 on the road with Matt Cain when they won his last start in which he threw more than 100 pitches


It’s back to business as usual for the majority of Major League Baseball games Friday and the San Francisco Giants begin their next stint of intraleague play with a weekend series against the Cardinals in St. Louis.


San Francisco went 1-3 against Oakland the past four days but more important than bragging rights, the Giants have to be concerned over the lack of quality starts from their starting rotation. San Francisco is 3-5 in their past eight with just one quality start to show from the seven most recent games.


Matt Cain (4-2, 5.00 ERA) will get the ball today and he’s looked sharp in four of his past five starts but he’ll need to shake off the shellacking he took against these Cardinals April 7. In his roughest start all season, Cain gave up nine runs in just 2.3 innings as part of a 14-3 St. Louis win. In nine career starts against St. Louis the usually reliable Cain is just 2-4 with a 6.18 ERA.


When playing on the road, the Giants are 11-0 since the start of 2012 with Matt Cain starting when they also won his last start and he threw more than 100 pitches –!


Rookie right-hander Shelby Miller (5-3, 2.02 ERA) is getting the nod for the home side and despite his lack of experience, MLB odds for this matchup favor St. Louis -135 with a total of 7.5. Miller earned a win in his 2013 debut in San Francisco pitching 5.1 innings and allowing just two earned runs. He’s had a loss and two ‘No Decisions’ in his last three starts but at home this year the rook has a superb 2-1 record with a 0.99 ERA.



St. Louis is scoring 4.90 runs per game their past 10 and for San Francisco, this game hinges on Cain pitching up to his potential. He’s had 100-plus pitches in five-straight starts and the Giants are 16-0 when he’s playing with this kind of confidence.


Since the start of the 2012 season the Giants are 11-0 on the road with Matt Cain when they won his last start in which he threw more than 100 pitches. The SDQL for this spot can be seen here:


starter=Matt Cain and A and s:SPT>100 and s:W and season>=2012


Cain was the favorite in only six of the eleven games in this sample and getting back plus-money we will ride with the dog to do his job and do it well.

Pick: Take the Giants


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