MLB Betting Angle: Astros at Yankees

The New York Yankees are coming off an impressive four-game sweep of the Blue Jays and now get set to host the Houston Astros

 

New York is leading the league in home run power despite a rash of injuries to their offensive superstars in 2013 but thanks to the powerful database at Killer Sports, we’ve uncovered one angle that was “live” eight times last season for 1 over and 7 unders.

 

This profile looks at teams who beat the Toronto Blue Jays in back-to-back games to finish a series and were then listed as home favorites the next day in Game 1 of a new series: The SDQL for that angle sets up like this:

HF and p:W and pp:W and po:team = Blue Jays and season >= 2012 and rest = 0 and SG = 1

 

The only “Over” was April 20 and since then this angle is a perfect 7-0 for +7 units with the favorite going 5-2 and outscoring their guest 2.9 to 2.1 (average).

HF and p:W and pp:W and po:team = Blue Jays and rest = 0 and SG = 1 and date>=20120427

 

The average moneyline sportsbooks were charging on these teams was -145 so my theory is that these were good enough teams to beat an average club (Jays) two games in a row (which means they likely won the series), and they are now favored at home (no travel) with a decent starter who must be feeling pretty confident about notching himself a ‘W’.

 

New York and Andy Pettitte (3-1, 2.22 ERA) have all of these traits and they are also 13-0 the past few years behind Pettitte if he threw at least 100 pitches in his previous start (1-3 O/U last year in four home games).

 

There is a cross wind in New York that could knock a few balls down and the home plate umpire is Ed Hickox. Since 2006, Hickox has a record of 31-55-5 O/U in American League games including three of three unders at Yankee Stadium since 2011. Each of those games finished with fewer than seven total runs and the Over/Under odds for tonight’s contest are listed at 7.5 Under (-109).

 

Our system play for tonight is on the Astros and Yankees to stay “Under” 7.5 runs!

 

The Andy Pettitte trend listed above if just one of the great angles listed in today’s MLB Newsletter available free at KillerSports.com. Don’t miss out on the top winners every day, sign up with KillerSports.com and start getting the free newsletter sent to your inbox every day!