Hot Umpire Trends

The SDQL database helps identify home plate umpire betting trends in baseball


Wednesday’s baseball card gets off to an early start with three day games in the National League including the New York Mets, who will try and complete a three- game sweep against the San Francisco Giants for the first time in 19 years. The ‘feel good’ story of this game is that Zach Wheeler (2-1, 4.29 ERA) is starting vs. the team who drafted him sixth overall in 2009 but the reality is that MLB odds makers are listing the Giants as huge moneyline favorites, putting Matt Cain (5-5, 4.85 ERA) in charge of spoiling the party.


Cain has hardly been a suitable candidate for spoiling parties in the Bay Area, sporting a 15-28 team record since 2006 as a favorite off a loss but with the way the Mets have been hitting the ball, we are turning our attention to the total. New York has scored 5.0 runs per game (RPG) in its past 10 with 14 runs the first two games of this series. They’ve needed at least six runs to give Wheeler a chance and his last three opponents scored 23 runs, almost eight per game!


San Fran’s offense ranks 21st in baseball with 3.96 RPG but there is no question they’ll be up for this game and the home plate umpire is Todd Tichenor, who has seen National League games go “Over” the total at a 63-percent clip since 2008. See for yourself with this link:


HPU = Todd Tichenor and H and total < 8 and league = NL and date >= 20080807


The total is 7 Over (-119) and our first play for Wednesday is on the Mets and Giants to score at least eight runs.



Here’s another pair of baseball betting trends “live” today with projected umpires and SDQL links to the game log. Visit the Google Chat Room to learn more about Sports Data Query Language and how you can use it to help gain an advantage over the sportsbook. ‘HPU’ is short for ‘Home Plate Umpire’.



Starting Pitchers: LHP Gio Gonzalez (6-3, 3.14 ERA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee (10-2, 2.73 ERA)

HPU: Gary Cederstrom

Since May 9, 2012, Cederstrom has called 11 overs and 2 unders in the National League with a posted total of less than 8

umpires [0] = Gary Cederstrom and H and total < 8 and league = NL and date >= 20120509



Starting Pitchers: RHP Jordan Lyles (4-3, 3.87 ERA) vs. Cardinals RHP Shelby Miller (9-6, 2.80 ERA)

HPU: Laz Diaz

Since Aug. 24, 2004, Diaz has called 3 overs and 18 unders with heavy National League home favorites (177-plus)

umpires [0]=Lazaro Diaz and H and (176<- line) and league=NL and date>=20040824


Good luck with today’s games!


Our CFL picks are 2-1 ATS to start the season; read Week 3 CFL Picks: Bombers at Ti-Cats