Hockey Betting Strategy, Post Olympics

Thursday presents bettors with their first full NHL lineup and we run through a few of the games with our best bet from the San Jose Sharks vs. the Philadelphia Flyers

We’ve seen some early rust in a few of the first five games since the NHL break, with three staying under the first period total (1.5) and five of ten teams scoring two total goals or less. But anyone who likes to bet on hockey has also seen teams like the Bruins, Sabres, Kings and Avalanche put on fireworks displays once the tempo picked up. Some players and coaches had to travel great lengths to compete in the Olympic Games but in the third day back, we are expecting to see a good number of “Over” tickets cash at the NHL betting window.


San Jose is a -115 moneyline favorite with the “Under” 5.5 costing bettors -130 at the majority of online sportsbooks. The Sharks’ scoring was down before the Olympic break but San Jose has posted a legitimate 15-12-3 record away from the Tank this season. After Philly, the Sharks will travel to Buffalo and New Jersey and like most Western Conference teams; San Jose knows how important it is to make up points in these Eastern road trips.


Philadelphia ripped Antti Niemi for four goals when these teams met Feb. 3 in San Jose and it’s not yet confirmed whether Niemi will start or if the Sharks will turn to young Alex Stalock (8-4, 1.67 GAA). Either way, we think the Sharks will have their hands full dealing with a Flyers team who rode into the Olympic break on a four-game win streak.


The powerful Sports Database Query Language, or SDQL for short, offers bettors a chance to run hockey betting systems free of charge and we’ve tested several scenarios for post Olympic betting strategy to come up with one angle that is “live” in up to seven matchups today, including this game. Click on the link for more details:

SDQL: H and season=2013 and total = 5.5 and line >= -150 and date>=20140225

This angle shows a nice percentage of “Over” bets hitting in the first four days back from the break. We’re looking for home teams with a total of 5.5 who are either dogs or favored by no more than -150 on the moneyline and in 2010, following the Vancouver Winter Games, this angle generated 13 overs to just 2 unders.


We also note that teams who were on a win streak of at least two-straight games going into the break produced 3 overs and 1 under and while Philadelphia has a date with the Rangers scheduled for Saturday, there is a day of rest in-between so there is no reason to hold back tonight. The bonus of playing this game is that the payback on the “Over” is at plus-money and for Thursday night, our Best Bet is on the Sharks and Flyers to sail “Over” 5.5 goals (+120).


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