GD’s Free Sports Picks: Habs at Flyers

The Philadelphia Flyers are home off successful road trip to host the Montreal Canadiens and Greg Dempson puts his hockey handicapping skills to the test with today’s NHL play of the day

The Philadelphia Flyers return home off a six game road trip where they were 5-1 straight up, their most recent win coming in overtime last night at New Jersey (3-2). Including playoffs, Montreal has lost nine consecutive games at Philadelphia while being outscored 35-12 and they catch a Flyers team who are riding a nice little nine-game home winning streak of their own that dates back to Nov. 9.

 

Tonight the Flyers have opted for Steve Mason in goal as Mason took yesterday off. He’s has been on a nice run winning six out of his last seven and in limited starts vs. Montreal, Mason is 2-0 with a 1.92 goals against average (GAA). Overall, Mason has allowed 34 goals in 15 home starts this season (16 games) for a GAA of 2.13 and a save percentage of .926. Peter Budaj gets the call at the other end of the ice and in his previous eight road games Budaj is 5-3 with a 2.00 GAA and .928 save percentage.

 

One might assume the reason for such a low money line is partly due to the fact that the Flyers are home, without rest, off an extended road trip but recent form suggests otherwise. In this exact scenario the home team has a success rate of 10 wins and 3 losses for moneyline betting with an average price around -119. I made this line closer to -135 so for tonight’s free hockey pick I’ve invested on the Flyers at -110 in this game.

Pick: Take the Flyers

 

Greg’s NHL predictions at Pick Sixty Sports are 4-1-1 this season for +3.63 units. Follow Greg for more winning picks!