Friday CFL Picks: Toronto at Winnipeg

Tonight’s game features a key divisional matchup with first place in the East up for grabs as the Argonauts take on the Bombers at IGF


 

Week 4 action north of the border kicks off at 8 pm eastern when the Toronto Argonauts visit Investors Group Field, looking to take advantage of a Bombers squad riddled with early season injuries. The odds on this game opened at ‘Pick em’ but the scale has slid by a field goal or more and the common gameday line at sports betting sites looks as if it could hit -4 by game time.

 

WEEK 4 CFL – ARGOS (-3.5, O/U 52) AT BLUE BOMBERS

The Bombers cracked the win column Week 2 at Montreal but they are still looking for that first win on home soil. Winnipeg will have its work cut out for them this week as the team tries to fend off an injury bug that’s affected them on both sides of the football early in this 2013 season. The list of casualties is long and contains many of the team’s difference makers such as DT Bryant Turner (chest), SB Terrance Edwards (shoulder) and second-year WR Chris Matthews. Add a late hamstring injury to the CFL’s second-leading receiver Cory Watson on the final play of practice Wednesday and the Bombers are facing an uphill battle.

 

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In the first-half of the season, home teams with a losing record off a loss are just 11-17 ATS vs. opponents who also have a losing record

 

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While the Argos have some issues of their own to contend with the team remains relatively healthy and QB Ricky Ray will have the opportunity to exploit several raw rookies on the Bombers’ defensive side. Ray has struggled in Winnipeg the past few years and still faces a top-rated defence but it’s still hard to ignore the Blue and Gold’s list of injures.

 

Noise levels at the new stadium reached more than 100 decibels in Week 1 and it even had veteran Alouettes QB Anthony Calvillo admitting that it had an impact on his ability to communicate with his offense so how Ray handles that could factor into the outcome but a quick start could diffuse that situation in a hurry.

 

Even at 52, this total seems rather high for Bombers team averaging just 6.0 yards per play (6th). We have a lean to the “Under” in this contest and the Bombers are 0-6-1 O/U the last seven home games following a sub-200-yard performance from the passing game but for our official play, throw us on the motivated road favorite to end its two-game skid.

Pick: Take Toronto

 

Follow Greg Simes on Twitter for CFL betting updates and read our second Week 4 play on Edmonton at BC here!

 

SU: Straight-up

ATS: Against the Spread

O/U: Over/Under