Saskatchewan looks to stay perfect this week and hold onto top spot in the Pick Sixty Power Poll
Favorites swept the board for the second time in four weeks this season and they improved to 12-4 straight-up (SU), 11-5 against the spread (ATS) this season making 2013 the first time since before 2007 that CFL ‘chalk’ have been a winning proposition through the first 15 or 16 games.
– The combined record for Week 1-4 CFL faves from 2007 to 2012 was 34-58-2 ATS (37-percent)
So this is uncharted territory and we are bound to see a correction at some point but in the meantime it feels like risky business betting on bad teams (with points) and expecting them to suddenly play good.
Here is a link to a SportsDatabase.com chart which will display every early season box score from the past seven years including common lines, scoring averages and the margins for pointspreads and Over/Under betting.
We should point out that the Week 5 record for CFL favorites since 2007 is 13-11 SU and 9-14-1 ATS (39-percent) with 10 overs, 13 unders and one push. The games averaged just 50.3 points per contest, too. Something to keep in mind this week as those first three desperate home dogs fight to find an identity.
1. SASKATCHEWAN ROUGHRIDERS (Last week: 1)
The Saskatchewan Roughriders remain the only unbeaten team and their dominating performance over the Tiger-Cats just reinforces their status as “CFL Powerhouse”. The Riders are rolling on both sides of the ball and at this point look to be in a class of their own.
2. CALGARY STAMPEDERS (Last week: 2)
The Stamps now own the record for biggest comeback in CFL history after erasing a 24 point deficit against the stunned Montreal Alouettes. Calgary has witnessed its share of challenges with both Drew Tate and Kevin Glenn missing time due to injury but they keep winning football games.
[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]CGY is 18-7-2 O/U as a road fave since 2007 and scoring an average of 31 PPG in those games[/quote_text]
3. BC LIONS (Last week: 3)
The Lions hold onto their position at No. 3 after defeating the Eskimos but didn’t do enough to knock the Stamps out of the 2nd spot. The Lions protect “the den” and keep their winning ways going at home. On the road, BC is 11-9 SU and 10-10 ATS since 2011 with just 4 overs to 16 unders. Week 5 CFL odds for Tuesday’s game in Toronto will hinge on the status of Ray.
4. TORONTO ARGONAUTS (Last week: 4)
After notching their second win of the season and taking sole possession of first in the East, Toronto hangs in fourth for the second consecutive week in our leaderboard. The Argos dissected the Bombers defense in a 35-19 rout and dominated on the defensive side of the ball. The win did come at a price as QB Ricky Ray and RB Chad Kackert were both lost due to injury, the extent of which isn’t known at this time.
Follow Greg Simes on Twitter – Life long CFL fan, supporter and CFL analyst for PickSixtySports.com
5. EDMONTON ESKIMOS (Last week: 8)
A spirited effort against a strong defensive Lions squad helps the Eskimos climb the standings but it has less to do with the Eskimos’ accomplishment and more to do with what the following teams didn’t do.
Pick Sixty staff writer Pat Archibald has fresh material every week in our ‘Articles’ section
6. MONTREAL ALOUETTES (Last week: 7)
Showing some signs of life, but giving up a 24-point lead shows that the Als still have a long way to go before being taken seriously again.
7. WINNIPEG BLUE BOMBERS (Last week: 5)
Another game and another injury to Buck Pierce. Although we’re not convinced it matters much as Buck has been terrible so far in four games. A change at the QB position might be just what the Bombers need to get their offense scoring again.
8. HAMILTON TIGER-CATS (Last week: 6)
Back to the cellar for a Ti-Cats team that failed to score a single point. That is extremely hard to accomplish in the CFL and that feat has earned the clawless Cats a trip back to the litter box.
The PickSixtySports.com CFL picks are 4-4 this season and we’ll have this week’s top plays rolling out by Thursday