Baseball Picks: Orioles at Blue Jays

The Baltimore Orioles were on the verge of snapping Toronto’s MLB-best win streak Friday night but as they have done several times already this season, the Blue Jays found a way to fight back with clutch hitting in the ninth inning to nail down the victory, 7-6. Today in the second of this three-game series the Orioles will look to Miguel Gonzalez (5-2, 3.75) as they continue their pursuit of Boston in the American League East standings.

 

Baltimore has done a fantastic job this season buckling down after getting knocked around and this baseball betting trend from KillerSports.com shows a 16-5 record after giving up six-plus runs:

 

t:team = Orioles and 6 <= tpo:runs and p:L and season = 2013

 

The Orioles have also gained a reputation as a streak killer the past couple years, going 14-0 against teams on a 3-plus game win streak as long as it was not the first game of a series. Check that profile by clicking this link:

 

t:team = Orioles and 3 <= o:streak and SG != 1 and date >= 20110907

 

Baltimore is 8-4 in Gonzalez’ 12 starts this season and right-hander is unbeaten in June with a 3-0 record and 2.21 ERA. Stretching back to last season, the O’s are actually 19-9 when Gonzo toes the rubber and with recent starts against the Tigers, Angels and Red Sox these wins did not come easy.

 

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When Miguel Gonzalez starts the Orioles are 19-9 since July 06, 2012 for a net profit of $1370

 

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The Blue Jays will give Chien-Ming Wang (1-0, 3.14) his third start of 2013 and although he’s been impressive, the baseball moneyline odds which opened at Baltimore -109 have moved to -115. This is Wang’s first home start and he’ll face a lineup that had some success against him from 2006-09 when Wang was with the Yankees, even if it didn’t show up in the won-loss record.

 

– From 2006-09 the Orioles averaged 5.8 runs per game vs. Wang with five of six games going “Over” the total

 

DAY TO DAY

The Orioles are 12-4 in ‘day games’ played on the road this season and they average 6.0 RPG in this spot. The team ranks second in Major League Baseball for scoring on the road with 5.21 RPG and road teams who score 6-plus runs and lose are on a 7-2 run. The total looks tempting but we’ll side with the revenge minded road squad gunning to end Toronto’s win streak.

Pick: Take the Orioles

 

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