Baseball Picks: Mariners at Twins

Minnesota is a perfect 18-0 in a situation that’s “live” today vs. the Seattle Mariners

 

Seattle has thrown a changeup to its starting rotation this week and today against Minnesota, former Tigers pitcher Jeremy Bonderman will make his 2013 debut as the Mariners try to nail down a series victory.

 

The baseball odds a couple of home favorites have been taking heavy betting action today including this contest, where Minnesota has increased to -144 on moneyline odds from an opening price of -130. The Twins are handing to ball to left-hander Scott Diamond (3-4, 5.22 ERA) who is still looking for his first win against Seattle in his third career start.

 

Diamond faced Seattle twice in 2012 and gave up seven earned runs in 13.2 innings of work but he only issued one walk. In eight of Diamond’s past 10 starts he has given up more than two free passes twice and making his first home start since May 18, he’ll look to bring that same control against an M’s team who are striking out at rate of 21.7-percent, 23rd in the majors.

 

KILLER TRENDS

We have a solid trend today form sports betting sponsor KillerSports.com that suggests good value on the home side securing a win:

 

In their last 18 opportunities, Minnesota is 18-0 as a favorite off a win as a favorite in which their starter went five plus innings and they scored more runs off their opponent’s bullpen than they did off their opponent’s starter.

 

team=Twins and F and po:BPRA>po:SRA and p:WF and p:SIP>=5 and date>=20070801

 

The Twins were trailing 4-2 after seven innings in yesterday’s game but scored three runs in the bottom of the ninth against Tom Wilhelmsen for a 5-4 victory. The ‘W’ went to Caleb Theilbar and Kevin Correia was stuck with the no decision but he did work 6.2 innings in a game where the Twins were small home faves by -115.

 

Powered by SDQL (Sports Data Query Language), this is just one example of the infinite number of scenarios bettors can work into their baseball handicapping routine with free trends at KillerSports.com.

 

It’s tough to predict how Bonderman’s going to perform today but Minnesota’s been a lot more selective at the plate its past few games and they are 3-1. If they can stay patient against Bonderman, the hitters are confident they can hit vs. the M’s bullpen and although the value on this play is gone we still think this rubber match sets up well for the home side.

Pick: Take the Twins -1 run (-105)

 

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