Baseball Picks: Indians at Tigers (Part II)!

The Tigers are 24-8 since September 3, 2009 as a home favorite vs. a team that has lost three-plus games for a net profit of $947


We’re back in the Motor City for Saturday’s first pick and the baseball betting theme between the Cleveland Indians and Detroit Tigers is “Play it again, Sam” as Detroit looks to extend its win streak vs. the Tribe to four.


The Tigers offense wasted little time building a lead for Justin Verlander in Friday night’s contest and although Jose Valverde made it interesting in the ninth, Detroit held on for a 7-5 win. It helped cash our run line ticket and sets up another solid SDQL betting angle with today’s MLB odds.


[quote_text color=”#000000″ text_color=”#ffffff”]Cleveland is 0-18 on the road when seeking immediate revenge for a loss in which they allowed more than ten hits, as long as they are not a 200-plus dog.[/quote_text]


The line for game 2 of this series opened at Tigers -129 and has been gaining ground throughout the morning. One sports betting shop (Sports Interaction) is still holding at -130 but the common number appears to be closer to -137. Check updated MLB odds here



Detroit had 12 hits in yesterday’s game and when the Tribe are seeking immediate revenge after giving up more than 10 hits away from home, they have lost 18 consecutive games as long as the dog line was less than +200. Here is the breakdown:


SDQL: team=Indians and A and po:hits>10 and p:L and SG>1 and line<200 and date>=20110820


As you can see by the game-by-game breakdown, Cleveland only stayed within a run four times during this stretch and the average final score was 7.3 to 3.6 for our play ON team (Detroit).


You can learn more about the Sports Data Query Language in this step by step tutorial by Dr. Ed Meyer: SDQL Tips and Tricks



Indians right-hander Justin Masterson (8-4, 3.57 ERA) faces Tigers righty Rick Porcello (2-3, 5.21 ERA) in today’s contest and Masterson’s three most recent road starts he has given up 19 earned runs in 18.2 innings of work. Granted, two of those starts were against Boston (5.15 RPG) and the New York Yankees (4.05 RPG) but the Tigers rank first overall in runs scored per game at 5.20 and that average increases to 5.77 at the cozy confines of Comerica Park.


Porcello’s been solid in six of his past seven starts and he’s pitching with a great deal of confidence knowing what kind of run support he can expect. The Detroit Team Total is 5 Over (-108), a nice option for anyone not looking to lay chalk, but we are taking the ‘safer’ route with a moneyline play.

Pick: Take the Tigers


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