Baseball Picks: Blue Jays vs the Brew Crew

Milwaukee’s Mike Fiers is red hot through his first two starts but tonight he’ll face a desperate Toronto team trying to regain its spot in the Wild Card race

Other than a big load of Aeroplan miles, the Toronto Blue Jays’ recent trip to the left coast was an epic waste of time. Toronto scored four runs in three games while giving up 19 and then following a day of rest, the Jays spent the weekend getting smacked around US Cellular for another 21 runs against the White Sox.

 

The Jays managed five-plus runs in each of three games against the Sox but can’t rely on any of its starters to consistently produce quality starts. In the month of August, Toronto is just 4-11 (.267), which is the lowest win percentage in all of baseball. The Jays have been outscored this month by an average 2.33 runs per game (RPG) which is the second highest in the majors behind the Chicago White Sox (-3.06 RPG).

 

Milwaukee is 10-6 this month and winning games by an average 0.94 RPG. At home they are 4-2 in August and the Brew Crew has posted a winning record every month this season except for July when they went 6-8. Mike Fiers gets the ball Tuesday, looking to build on strong starts vs. the Dodgers and Cubs. Blue Jay hitters have little experience vs. Fiers and the right-hander knows how desperate Toronto is to regain relevance in the American League playoff hunt but I’m going to give the advantage in this game to the home side.

 

JA Happ has been taken for four or more earned runs in five of his past seven starts against the Brewers and there is a few hitters in the lineup like Rickie Weeks (8 for 17, .471 avg, 2 HR) and Ryan Braun (8 for 26, .308, 3 HR and 8 RBI) who have the book on Happ. Look for the Brewers to grind out a lead early in this one and set their renewed starter up for his third ‘W’.

Pick: Take the Brewers -.5 run (-105) in the first 5 innings

 

Pick Sixty’s NFL preseason record is 8-5 for +6.14 units with totals crushing at 6-1. Watch for our Week 3 picks by Friday!