2015 Kentucky Derby Predictions

Updated odds for the Kentucky Derby, track conditions, weather and our top picks for this year’s Run for the Roses!

After reading a few previews for this race, some written by people who likely only handicap one horse race per year, I’ve come up with one play for the Derby.

 

Will a new Derby record time be set? Yes at +1100

 

The current record is 1.59.4 (Secretariat 1973). The conditions are fast and firm, the forecast looks good (light wind) and other than Bob Baffert’s top two colts (American Pharoah and Dortmund), it sounds like there are some solid contenders. Records are being shattered every season in every sport so in one where steroids are legal, why not horse racing? At 11 to 1, I’ll take a shot on this rather than betting the heavy chalk or tossing a dart at the rest of the field.

 

The Over/Under odds on ‘Kentucky Derby – Winning Time’ are juiced heavily at “Under” 2:02.5 and I understand that three seconds is a massive gap in competitive racing, but unless you’re willing to invest a ton of time into `capping this race, it’s really just an action bet.

 

Famously known as the ‘Greatest two minutes in sports’, here’s to witnessing sports betting history if one of the three-year-old thoroughbreds can finish the ‘Run for the Roses’ in a new record time.

 

Sports Interaction offers ‘Each Way’ betting where you are essentially betting a horse to win, place or show. Based on current lines, my top play for that option is on Danzig Moon at +880. It’s not how you start this race but how you finish and for some horses, the added distance can put them in unfamiliar territory in a hurry. Breaking from the five, Danzig will be running the 1 ¼ for the first time but looks to have the stamina and running style to compete. The preparation is there, too, and hey, when it comes to winning the Kentucky Derby, a little luck can also go a long way. Here’s a look at the updated odds for the 141st running of the Kentucky Derby.

KENTUCKY DERBY ODDS

1 Ocho Ocho Ocho 27-1

 

2 Carpe Diem 8-1

 

3 Materiality 16-1

 

4 Tencendur 50-1

 

5 Danzig Moon 30-1

 

6 Mubtaahij 15-1

 

7 El Kabelr 30-1 ***Scratched Friday

 

8 Dortmund 3-1

 

9 Bolo 45-1

 

10 Firing Line 10-1

 

12 International Star 20-1 ***Scratched on Saturday morning

 

13 Itsaknockout 30-1

 

14 Keen Ice 30-1

 

15 Frosted 10-1

 

16 War Story 45-1

 

17 Mr. Z 27-1

 

18 American Pharoah 5-2

 

19 Upstart 30-1

 

20 Far Right 40-1

 

21 Frammento 99-1

 

22 Tale of Verve 50-1 (Scratched)

 

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