Apr 23, 2 years ago

Saturday NHL Playoff Picks: Predators at Ducks

Saturday NHL Playoff Picks: Predators at Ducks

Today’s NHL Best Bet from the Nashville Predators and Anaheim Ducks, Game 5!

Tied 2-2, this Western Conference series shifts back to the left coast with Nashville looking to halt a two-game skid after opening with back-to-back road wins. Anaheim has built some momentum in this series and books are commanding a hefty price tag, anywhere from -135 (Pinnacle) to -180 (Sports Interaction).

During the regular season, Anaheim earned 25 wins on home ice but they’re just 4-4-2 in their past 10 at the Honda Center including a pair of 3-2 losses to the Preds. The Ducks made a goaltending switch for Game 3 and since taking over for John Gibson, Frederick Anderson has been stellar. This line move, however, right back to the range that we saw in Game’s 1 and 2, seems like it’s gone a little too far.

SDQL PLAYOFF SYSTEMS

Home ice has already proven to be overvalued in these playoffs, with Friday’s road sweep moving the away team’s record to 23-15 SU for a net profit of +13 units. Have a look at the list with SDQL text: playoffs=1 and A and season=2015

Upon further review we can see that when a series is tied, the overall record for road teams in database history is 71-71 SU, producing a 12-percent return on investment (ROI). That record is based on all lines but if you eliminate the biggest underdogs (more than +145), the ROI more than doubles. The win percentage stays strong (60-percent straight-up) and then if we look to isolate road teams off a loss (Predators), this sub-profile improves to 30-13 straight-up for a profit of more than 20 units since 2007 (43-percent ROI).

Nashville’s power play is only 1 for 19 but they’ve kept the Ducks in line, killing 11 of 12 penalties. The Predators need to get some production from their top line and it won’t be easy, but if Pekka Rinne can regain his early playoff form I think there is solid value on these Preds stealing another road win.

Pick: Take the Predators in Game 5

@PickSixtySports is 5-5 in the first round of the NHL playoffs. Follow us on Twitter for more SDQL betting stats, systems and predictions throughout the postseason!

Share "Saturday NHL Playoff Picks: Predators at Ducks" via

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

More in NHL
Apr 11, 1 week ago

NHL Playoffs, Round 1, 2018

The NHL playoffs begin with three games today and thus far I have focused on series bets with a heavy influence towards the Winnipeg Jets. Updating playoff ledgers from last year, my final Round 1 record was 6-5 for +1.34 units. Sides went 2-2 & …

Apr 7, 2 weeks ago

MLB Picks: Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers

The Toronto Blue Jays opened their road schedule for 2018 with a 8-5 win at Texas. Today the Jays will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman against Rangers lefty, Mike Minor. Overnight lines for the Jays went as high as -140 but Texas money has been flowi…

Feb 4, 3 months ago

Totally Covered, Super Bowl 52 Picks: Pats vs. Eagles

Super Bowl 52 musings, props and predictions from Pick Sixty Sports!…

Read   Comments are off