Dec 31, 3 years ago

NFL Wild Card Best Bet: Cardinals at Panthers

NFL Wild Card Best Bet: Cardinals at Panthers

The NFC South this season was like a division no team wanted to win until Carolina took the bull by the horns, winning four-straight games to clinch a home field playoff game against the Arizona Cardinals

Odds on this matchup favor the Panthers by -6.5 points and the total is still available at 38.5 with one of our favorite online sportsbooks, The Greek. We tweeted a play on this game earlier in the week and after another look, have upgraded it to a Best Bet based on the following information.


The Panthers finished the season with four-straight wins and you can credit Cam Newton for three of them but ironically, their best passing day was Week 15 at Tampa Bay when Derek Anderson threw for 277 yards and a TD. The past five weeks, no NFL teams rushed for more yards per game than Carolina (195 RYPG).

Teams who rushed for 150-plus yards in their past five games have a 63-percent SU/ATS record this season with 73-percent of games staying under the total (7-19-1 O/U). At home, these teams went 2-12-1 O/U and the two overs were on totals of 47.5 and 48. One game involved the Dallas Cowboys, Week 7 against the Giants when the Cowboys won 31-21 and the other was two weeks ago in Cincinnati when the Broncos lost 37-28. For a football betting chart that displays these games just click the link with SDQL Text: season = 2014 and tA(RY, N=5) > 150 and H

Hot rushing home teams with a total of O/U 47 or less went 0-10-1 O/U and they stayed more than 10 PPG below the closing odds. It’s the fourth-straight season where this profile has finished with an “Under” record and the combined mark is 24-44-4 O/U (65-percent).

From Week 11 out the record is 12-29-2 O/U (71-percent UN) and when the home side was favored by -6 points or more the record since 2010 is 1-10-1 O/U (91-percent). Amazingly, Arizona was involved in four of those 12 games going 0-4 SU/ATS and being outscored 33-6; averages skewed by a 58-0 loss against Seattle. The other three games, Arizona scored 3, 7 and 13 points and the only one which was “live” from earlier this year was a 19-3 loss to the Seahawks in Week 12.


Bruce Arians and Ron Rivera is an interesting coaching matchup with each still searching for his first playoff win. The Panthers have stayed under seven of the past eight times at home off a road win and whether it’s Ryan Lindley or Drew Stanton under center shouldn’t matter much. The defense has found its stride allowing 17 points or less in four-straight games and they have a good chance here to extend that streak. Newton will have to avoid costly turnovers and the past month, Carolina is plus-6 in that department. We wouldn’t lay this many points against the Cardinals D but are happy to bet this game under for 2.5 units.

Take the Cardinals-Panthers UNDER 38.5 ***BEST BET***

Our only other NFL playoff pick to date is on the Detroit Lions +7 points at Dallas. Follow @PickSixtySports for updates!!

Share "NFL Wild Card Best Bet: Cardinals at Panthers" via

Add a comment


  1. Pingback: NFL Wild Card Power Rating Picks | Pick Sixty Sports – Betting news you can use! January 3, 2015 […] *ARI +6.5 (11)……. Read our Best Bet on this game for more info! […]

  2. Pingback: Wild Card Playoff Picks: Ravens, Steelers | Pick Sixty Sports – Betting news you can use! January 2, 2015 […] Read our NFL Playoff Best Bet from the Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers! […]

Leave a Reply

You must be logged in to post a comment.

More in NFL
Apr 11, 1 week ago

NHL Playoffs, Round 1, 2018

The NHL playoffs begin with three games today and thus far I have focused on series bets with a heavy influence towards the Winnipeg Jets. Updating playoff ledgers from last year, my final Round 1 record was 6-5 for +1.34 units. Sides went 2-2 & …

Apr 7, 2 weeks ago

MLB Picks: Toronto Blue Jays at Texas Rangers

The Toronto Blue Jays opened their road schedule for 2018 with a 8-5 win at Texas. Today the Jays will hand the ball to Marcus Stroman against Rangers lefty, Mike Minor. Overnight lines for the Jays went as high as -140 but Texas money has been flowi…

Feb 4, 3 months ago

Totally Covered, Super Bowl 52 Picks: Pats vs. Eagles

Super Bowl 52 musings, props and predictions from Pick Sixty Sports!…

Read   Comments are off