Oct 24, 5 years ago

CFL Picks and Betting Trends: Bombers at Argos

CFL Picks and Betting Trends: Bombers at Argos

The Winnipeg Blue Bombers officially bowed out of playoff contention last week in a 26-20 loss against Toronto but they are in the Center of the Universe tonight for a revenge match against the Boatmen and our CFL betting expert says the Blue haven’t quit just yet.


The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Toronto Argonauts are the first of four games on the Week 18 CFL card and the current odds favor Toronto by -10.5 points with a total of 53. Toronto is getting a bigger sniff at the sports betting window throughout the day and one sportsbook operator suggested that parlay betting action has been just as big with football bettors as flat betting.


“The most popular ticket on the board today (involving CFL) is Carolina to the Argos, with 10-point players also involving the NFL game to go over.”


It’s hard to gauge how much effort a team will deliver once the final axe has fallen on playoff hope but with several players battling for jobs next season we expect the Bombers D to bring some pride to the table tonight. HC Tim Burke is a defensive minded coach and for a lot of games this year the Bombers defense is the only thing that gave them a chance. Argos HC Scott Milanovich said he’s not taking the Bombers lightly and you can bet that protecting star QB Ricky Ray is at the top of Toronto’s agenda.



Here are some numbers supporting the first of our CFL picks for Week 18. Click on the corresponding link for a complete breakdown of the stats from our friends at SportsDatabase.com.


1. Big Divisional Road Dogs: In the CFL database history we can see that divisional road dogs have a record of 9 overs and 24 unders (1 push) and Winnipeg leads the charge for those teams, going 2-11-1 O/U since 2007. The SDQL text is as follows:


team = Blue Bombers and AD and line >= 7 and DIV


2. Dust Storm: When the home team is favored by double-digits with a total over 51 we can see a league-wide trend of 3 overs, 10 unders and 1 push in the following SDQL profile:


AD and line >= 10 and DIV and total > 51



When playing on the road with a total of 50 or more the Bombers are 8-32-1 O/U and since Week 11 of last year the Bombers are 1-4 O/U in the back-half of a home and home when coming off a loss. In the two road games Winnipeg scored 19 and 14 points and given the team’s struggles away from Investors Group Field this year (2-6 O/U and 18.8 PPG), we don’t see Winnipeg contributing much in the way of scoring tonight.

CFL Best Bets: Take the Bombers and Argos UNDER 53


For our top two NFL picks in tonight’s Carolina at Tampa Bay game click here!

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